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Thursday, 23 February 2017

1:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (23rd February) APPRENTICE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-60)

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An apprentices race with just 8 runners so ideal if there's any each way value in the race, being a class 6 affair they are as expected a relatively poor bunch but there's 3 that have been known to lead before but Hurricane Alert only usually leads if nothing else wants to but doubt that will happen here, Pearl Noir is a possible pace setter from stall 2 but hasn't any course and distance times recently to analyse but even its best from 2015 would only put it into 2nd top so it could make the frame, Topsoil is my 2nd top rated on recent times but this one may prefer further so ought to be staying on at the finish and could make the frame but my top rated is YISTY 8/1 a 4-year-old from the Derek Shaw stable who has a decent strike rate at this course and this is the 3rd possible pace maker and has luckily drawn stall 1 so if this one gets out and gets control of the rails it could prove very hard to catch but this isn't the type of race to go steaming in on so I suggest caution with any stakes and keep them on the lower side of things.

Yisty 16/1 7th
4:40 Chelmsford -
Another race with 8 runners with 2 that have been known to lead before, Kashtan has no form at this course but did a decent time at Kempton over this distance and has got stall 2 so could have a chance to make the frame if not more, Saved My Bacon is my 2nd top rated but at this distance doesn't want them to go too fast from the start as it stretches its stamina over this distance, my top rated is Penny Dreadful who is the other horse that's been known to lead but hasn't won since September 2015 and the trainer is 0-36 at this course which tempers any confidence and I think this race is best left alone.
8:30 Chelmsford -
A nice looking race with 11 runners and 5 that have been known to lead and my top 2 are possible leaders, Dreams Of Glory is my 4th top rated but maybe a better horse in a class 6 race, my 3rd top rated is Compton River who isn't a front runner but does usually track the leaders but might get stuck on the rails from stall 2 and will need some luck to show its best but it is capable of making the frame if things go its way, my 2nd top rated is Miracle Garden and is coming out of stall 3 which could be good enough for it to gain control of the rails and then be hard to catch but top spot goes to KING CRIMSON 8/1 who admittedly isn't ideally drawn in stall 10 but if away fast enough it could either get a good prominent early position or even lead and if getting to the front should be very hard to overhaul and the trainer has a good 20% win rate at this course and the trainer has won 28% of his rides for this stable which points to them expecting a big run here.

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