Tuesday, 14 February 2017

5:10 Newcastle Racing Tips (14th February) PLUS HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

Burtonwood hasn't run on this surface before but usually, tracks the leaders so not a bet or a lay in my minds as I've no idea what it's likely to do.
Spiraea looks as though it needs a longer trip, although it's got no form it looks as though this surface may not see it at its best.
Jacobs Pillow hasn't run on this surface before but looks like it may not like the surface and will stay on and looks better over further.
Kens Sams hasn't any form in England and on Irish form it looks as though it may need further and is still a maiden after 9 runs, I couldn't back or lay this one either.
Monsieur Paddy can be held up the track the pace setters but it needs to improve on the times its recorded so far to win this.
Noah Amor looks the most likely front runner in the field and its 7lb claiming apprentice moves it into 4th spot but the booking isn't a positive as she's 0-4 for the stable.
Windforpower did me a good turn last time out when winning here and comes out 2nd best on my figures in this race and ought to at least make the frame.
Jess hasn't any form on this surface and normally likes to track the leaders but the trainer and the jockey combination have a very good record and this one may be able a hidden danger.
Indian Pursuit is my top rated despite looking as though a longer trip would and it ran a very good race when 2nd last time out over 6f on this surface at Wolverhampton. Novabridge is my 3rd top rated and a versatile type of runner which includes leading so could do enough to make the frame.
Thorntoun Lady is a holdup type of runner and is 4th best on my figures but I doubt it will finish fast enough to win it could be placed if others falter.
SUMMARY: A tricky race in many ways as there are 3 horses that I don't know if they would be bets or lays but I'll stick with the proven, as usual, I expect Noah Amor and Novabridge to provide the early pace, Windforpower is my 2nd top rated and is proven to be in form but my top spot is INDIAN PURSUIT 100/30 who will hopefully have a good fast pace to aim at and the jockey-trainer combination is quite good but I'm very wary of JESS 22/1 who could be a hidden danger and another with a good trainer-jockey combination and I would be looking to back the former with a win bet and an each way wager on Jess at such a big price and hope to show a profit whichever one does the business.

Indian Pursuit 7/1 1st
Jess 22/1 Unp

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