Friday, 17 February 2017

5:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (17th February) HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Newstead Abbey —might prefer a slower surface and or a longer distance to show its best.
Handsome Dude —one of 3 known pace setters and 1 of my 2 joint top rated so must have a chance at least to make the frame and even win.
Extrasolar —hasnt won from 8 attempts on the all-weather tracks but none of them was on this surface but this trip is usually too far for it.
Buccaneers Vault —usually likes to race just behind the pace makers and then stay on at the finish, its 4th on my list so will need others to falter for it to make the frame.
Gramercy —hasnt any form on this surface also its been out of form lately, it's a hold-up type and I doubt it will spring back to form in this race.
Fairway To Heaven —can be held up or track the pace but isn't in my top 4 on course times but has only raced here once, it's done the best time at Wolverhampton of any in the race so must have a chance here.
Bahamian Dollar —hasnt any surface form but looks as though it would be better suited to a longer trip and ought to be staying on here as there will probably be a fast early pace.
Fujin —has been in good form and its last run over 7furlongs is best ignored it's a front-running type and 1 of my joint top rated horses but it might be in the grasp of the handicapper now.
Merdon Castle —isnt in my top 4 on course times but 2nd best on Wolverhampton figures and a place is maybe as good as it can expect to achieve.
Dark Side Dream —the 3rd known front runner and my 3rd top rated horse and this class may just find it out.
SUMMARY: With my top 3 ratings all being front runners this race could be run at a fast and furious pace from start to finish, Fujin and Dark Side Dream have run fast times I slightly lower class races so may struggle now up in class but never say never, Fairway To Heaven has done the best time of these but its only 5th best on course times but has only run on this course once so could easily improve its times here and looks to be the one that could prosper if the front runners go too fast and fade inside the final furlong, top rated on course figures is Handsome Dude but this one may have been flattered by being pulled along in a very fast run race but it has proven it can do it and I have to go with my figures so I will go with backing both FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 11/4 to win and HANDSOME DUDE 11/1 with an each way wager to profit whichever one does the job.

Handsome Dude 11/1 1st
Fairway To Heaven 7/2 7th

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