Wednesday, 1 March 2017

7:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (1st March) HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

racing tips
TICK THE BOXES can be held up or track the leaders but it looks like this surface doesn't suit its racing style even though it has raced over distances either 1 furlong further or shorter that today's trip.
BALLESTEROS hasn't got any course and distance form but has done a fast time at this distance at Wolverhampton but it looks a horse that can go a fast early pace tracking the leaders so recording a fast time but maybe not going to win many and hasn't won an all weather race before from 6 tries.
ART OBSESSION has won once and been placed the other 3 of its 4 all weather runs including when placed over this course and distance on its only run of 2017 so it seems fit enough to reproduce its best again under these conditions and is my 4th top rated.
SLINGSBY won for me last time out and has every chance here to win again if it can reproduce its best time from last October and at least I know the horse is fit and in form. BERLIOS hasn't any form of this relevantly new course and it would have to improve upon its best Wolverhampton time to feature here but it could feasibly improve but I'll go with the proven.
THE HOODED CLAW is a possible front runner in the make-up of this race and stall 5 isn't too bad but its best time is only good enough for 6th spot but could use its front-running style to its advantage to make the frame.
TADAAWOL is usually a holdup type and could feasibly track the 2 front runners across and get a good early position from which to attack and is my 2nd top rated.
BE BOLD hasn't nay form on this surface and it looks as though a longer trip would see it improve and also this surface may not be ideal for it so may struggle here.
BIG AMIGO is another holdup type and it has been drawn in stall 1 and its not guaranteed to be of any help and may need some luck to get a clear run and is only 5th top on my figures.
MESHARDAL hasn't any recent course and distance form and it looks like this surface isn't its best, it can be held up or track the leaders but not for me in this race.
BURTONWOOD on this course its time when it won was a slow run affair and a slow time was recorded but it does come out 2nd best using Wolverhampton times so can't be easily discarded and if improving must have some degree of a chance.
FOOLAAD is one that has been known to lead before but over 7 furlongs but there doesn't look to be much early pace in this race unless something changes its usual tactics but it does look likely to need the longer trip to produce its best form but from stall 2 if it's got the pace it could control the rails.
MR MORSE has only produced a slow time and this surface doesn't look likely to suit this one's style of running and not for me this time out.
AMBITIOUS ICARUS is well weighted and comes out in 3rd top spot and can be held up or track the leaders so it could make the frame.
SUMMARY: The lack of early pace could cause a problem with only 2 that have been known to lead before and does mean any stakes will be kept on the lower side of things, Ambitious Icarus could make the frame off bottom weightwhile ive got it very tight at the top of my figures with Tadaawol just slightly behind SLINGSBY 11/2 and im going with just the one selection in the hope that it gets a good early position from which to finish strongly and follow up its win last time out over this course and distance where as a hold up type like my 2nd top rated always needs a degree of luck if they are to get a clear run when trying to finish strongly.

Slingsby 11/2 5th

No comments: