Thursday, 23 March 2017

1:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (23rd March) Sprint Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+)

A field of 11 runners with 4 known pace setters and they are all prominent on my speed figures, plus there's 3 of them being ridden by claimers so they order moves about quite a bit, Doctor Parkes is between 5th top and 2nd top but might get squeezed out early from stall 3, Roaring Rory a front-running type is 4th or 3rd best but stall 10 isn't ideal for it to try and lead from, Pushkin Museum is either 3rd best or 2nd best and is in stall 8, POWERFUL DREAM 13/2 from stall 4 could gain control of the rails and is my original 2nd top rated and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but NOBLE ASSET 12/1 is my top rated and could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast up front which might happen so I'm going with backing the pair of them to cover both angles and show a profit whichever one wins so a win (unless it drifts to an each-way price) bet on the former and an each way bet on the latter.

Powerful Dream 13/2 2nd
Noble Asset 16/1 7th
8:20 Chelmsford -
Only 7 runners here but not one of them is known as a front-running type so I've no idea where the early pace will come from, Tigserin doesn't look to like this surface, the top2 Saved My Bacon and Fredricka find this distance too far if it's a fast early pace but can't be discarded in this race if it boils down to a 2 furlong dash, Noble Act and Assertive Agent both look capable of improving on what they have shown so far, which leaves me with HIMALAYAN QUEEN 16/1 who is my top rated and they are using a jockey who claims 5lb who has ridden 11 times for the stable and won twice so it looks a positive booking and I will look to have a small wager because of the lack of known pace and a couple of possible dark horses, I do wish there were 3 places up for grabs if I bet each way but with only 2 places I will go with a small win bet.

Himalayan Queen 16/1 6th
8:50 Chelmsford -
Only 8 runners in this race with 2 known to have led before, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in WELEASE BWIAN 12/1 who if you take off the 7lb its apprentice claims it moves it to top spot and the trainer has a 19% win rate here and the jockey a 12% win ratio, and Secret Asset but this one looks as though it's better over further so should be staying on but maybe a bit too late, both of my top 2 are front runners and both COME ON DAVE 5/1 who is my original 2nd top rated and NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM 9/2 my original top rated, both are dropped in class to run in this race, the latter comes out on top but only just but the trainers record of 1-17 at this track and the jockey 1-12 doesn't inspire confidence but it is capable of winning the race but Come On Dave's trainer has a 21% win ratio here and the jockey a 13% win rate which is more inspiring. I'm looking to back all 3 of them to show a profit whichever one wins the race, so I will be having 2 win bets and one each way bet at the odds available.

Normal Equilibrium 9/2
Come On Dave 5/1 4th

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