Tuesday, 28 March 2017

4:20 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (28th March) Sprint Handicap (Class 6) (4yo+)

This week is starting off poorly, Monday no sprints at all and now Tuesday just the one race a lowly class 6 affair over the minimum distance with only 7 runners, things can only get better.
CRUISE TOTHELIMIT is my 2nd top rated and was only beaten in a photo by a short head 2 runs ago over course and distance and is weighted to reverse the form with Dandilion and it's being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who has won a few races but it's his 1st ride for this stable. but its had 17 all-weather races without winning and hasn't won a race since September 2014 but had won 9 times before that.
LOUMARIN is another infrequent winner having not won since 2015, it's front-running type of horse but there's another 3 that also might want to lead and it's got the worst of the draw in stall 7 and timewise it's not in my top 3 ratings.
TONIS A STAR is another possible front runner and has got stall 2 so could at least have a chance to contest the lead if they want it to but timewise it's got to improve, plus I'm not sure this is its ideal surface for it, and I never say never but this one is definitely not in my calculations to win this race.
PENNY DREADFUL hasn't ever run on this surface and also looks as though a longer trip would suit its needs better and it's one of two horses from the Scott Dixon stable and does look to be their 1st choice but hasn't won since September 2015 and not for me.
DANDILION is my joint 3rd top rated and it's usually a hold-up type which could suit in this race and may get a place but the trainer broke his duck at this course when it won 2 runs ago but that is his only winner from 28 attempts and may struggle to win this race.
SEE VERMONT is my top rated from a time recorded in 2016 and did win last year, its only had 10 runs on the all-weather and won once and that was here but over 6 furlongs and in this race it should be staying on the stronger and the 20 times when they have employed this jockey has won for them 4 times, so it looks a positive move as though they are expecting a big run here.
PEARL NOIR is Scott Dixons other runner and looks the 2nd string, the jockey hasn't won for them in 31 attempts which are enough to put me off even further and hasn't won on the all-weather since 2015 then at Kempton a completely different surface.
SUMMARY: Not the greatest of races and with 4 possible pace setters it could be fast run for the grade and that's what I'm hoping for, I've got negatives against the 2 horses in stalls 1 and 2 actually winning races although they are capable of making the frame, if the early pace is fast I hope that SEE VERMONT 9/2 who is usually held up can find a clear passage and then stay on the strongest at the finish to get itself back into the winners enclosure.

See Vermont 9/2 2nd

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