Thursday, 25 May 2017

1:40 Bath Racing Tips (26th May) TMGroup Who Cares Wins Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+)

racing tips
I'm not always a fan of this distance as its over 5 and a half but quite a bit short of 6 furlongs, so I'm not always sure if it needs a strong 5 furlong horse or a weak 6 furlong horse to win over the trip but today looks an exception and hopefully I've found a golden nugget, there's 3 horses that have led before and it looks a race that will be won from the front, Silverrica isn't in my top 5 so maybe it won't be quite fast enough to lead in this field, Powerful Dream is my 3rd top rated and could be the one that would prosper but I doubt that will happen but it could still make the frame, Anonymous John starts off as my top rated but the trainer is 0-11 here with his older horses and the jockey is 0-2 but it is drawn in stall 9 and it versatile with its running style and that includes leading but it always looks as though it wants more than 6 furlongs so they might go too fast for this one to lead as well which leaves me with GO AMBER GO 5/2 who did its best time this year over 6 furlongs so it shouldn't be fading near the finish its being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot , the trainer has a 23% win rate here and the jockey 22% win ratio for this stable, so it looks like they are expecting a big run here and it could lead all the way.

Go Amber Go 5/2 6th
GOODWOOD 4.55
This is a nice looking class 2 race with 14 runners and 4 that have led before and this could also be won from the front, Upstaging is joint 4th best and a possible pace setter but only usually in sufference so maybe not in this race, ive got joint 2nd top rated horses in Boy In The Bar who can also front run and could make the frame but the jockey has only rode twice for the stable so im not sure if its a positive or negative deployment, KADRIZZI 20/1 is the other joint 2nd top and also a front runner, stall 3 looks ideal in the make-up of the race and the jockey booking looks a big positive with a 21% win rate for the stable, SEEKING MAGIC 18/1 is top rated and is being ridden by a 7lb claimer and im not sure if its positive as hes only ridden twice for them so I will go with backing them both each way to cover the angles.

Kadrizzi 20/1 6th
Seeking Magic 20/1 Unp
PONTEFRACT 8.00
Of the 12 runners theres 5 that have been known to lead before and its a competative race, I think Astrophysics has perhaps deserved the move up in class but I think it will struggle to cope to win the race but could possibly make the frame and may need this run for fitness, Musharrif is my 3rd top rated and usually tracks the leaders, ive then got Silvanus in 2nd top spot from a time it recorded this year at Catterick and another that prefers to track the leadersmy top rated is ORIENTAL RELATION 10/1 who is a possible front running pace setter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and its best speed figure was recorded over this course and distance this year and the trainer has a 31% win rate here and the jockey has a 17% in rate for the stable which hopefully points to connections expecting a big run and the price allows for an each way investment.

Oriental Relation 10/1 9th

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