Wednesday, 31 May 2017

2:30 Beverley Racing Tips (31st May) Handicap (Div I) (Class 6) (3yo+)

Eric Winner
This 1st division has 11 runners and 4 that have been known to set the pace before and my top 3 are in that 4, Tinsill is my joint 3rd top rated but may be better with some cut in the ground and is the only one of my top 4 that doesn't like to lead, Jacobs Pillow from stall 4 is the other 3rd top rated but in 2nd spot I've got Pearl Noir who's trainer has a 17% win rate and the jockey is 2-6 for this stable so looks like they expect it to at least run well but I didn't expect it to be this short, my top rated is DAVIDS BEAUTY 10/1 and it has the ideal draw in stall 1 so if getting to the front could prove hard to catch and I hope it can have enough to repel any challengers.

David's Beauty 11/1 4th
NOTTINGHAM 2.50
Just 8 runners here but half of them have been known to lead before and my top 2 ratings are 2 of them, my 3rd top rated is Socialites Red who is usually held up and ought to be staying on at the finish, 2nd top rated is Meandmyshadow but the trainer is 0-8 at this course with his older horses but my top rated MONARCH MAID 20/1 has only got a 1-19 win record which isn't anything great so my stakes will be kept low and I hope all 8 run so it plays 3 places and I will have a small each-way bet.

Monarch Maid 20/1 5th
BEVERLEY 3.00
There's 10 runners in this division and 3 known front runners and Roaring Rory my 3rd top rated is one of them so it should ensure there's a decently fast early pace but the jockey is 0-3 which isn't a positive move but that is based on a very limited amount of data, Crosse Fire is my 2nd top rated and the jockey has a decent 17% win rate but the jockey riding is 0-9 so I'm not sure what to make of it but my top rated CHIP OR PELLET 12/1 is still a maiden on turf but has won on the all-weather tracks, it recorded its top time earlier this year at Nottingham where it stayed on strongly at the finish and this stiffer course might be ideal and the price permits me to go with an each way bet.

Chip Or Pellet 12/1 6th
AYR 7.10
The problem is where the early pace will come from, Dawoodi has been known to lead but has only raced on softer ground so not sure if it will here, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses with Vallarta who can be held up or track the leaders, the other is the 3-year-old Black Isle Boy who did its best time this year at Hamilton and usually races prominently and must have a decent chance especially if my top rated YEEOOW 9/1 doesn't put its best hoof forward, which has been the case before, the trainer has a 13% win ratio here and the jockey a 24% win rate for the stable so it does point to connections hoping for a big run and the price is just about big enough for an each-way wager.

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