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Thursday, 1 June 2017

2:30 Hamilton Racing Tips (1st June) Memorial Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

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Only 7 runners and 3 of them have led before but I'm not sure if 2 of them are good enough to lead here, I've got joint 2nd top rated with Mitchum who may need further so should be staying on at the finish and Bronze Beau who recorded its best time over course and distance but top spot is *JACK LUEY 6/1 who is a front runner and if getting to the front ought to prove very hard to catch as long as the going isn't on the soft side.

* (No Bet - Going Doesn't Suit)
CHELMSFORD 6.40
A nice class 3 race with10 runners and 3 of them have led before, A Momentofmadness hasn't run here before but using its Kempton time it would have to improve to win this from the front, Lydia's Place may find this class of race is too much for it and Seve isn't rated in my top 4 so they will most likely be setting it up for a finisher, Top Boy and Excellent George are my joint 3rd top rated, in 2nd spot is DYNAMO WALT 15/2 who's trainer has a 17% win rate here and the jockey is 2-6 which looks a positive move but top spot goes to SAVED MY BACON 8/1 and this trainer has a 21% win rate here and the jockey won on his only ride for the stable, I'm going with backing the 2 horses because I'm not 100% sure if the latter is class enough to win this race but it has won before getting weight from better horses, so I'm going with both.

Saved My Bacon 8/1 3rd
Dynamo Walt 15/2 5th
NEWCASTLE 6.50
With only 6 runners I'm not expecting a great price for the selection, there's no known front runners but somethings got to lead, Jameerah hasn't run here before at this course and distance so could be a hidden danger, Fredricka might find this distance too far if they go a good gallop from the start, Palenville is my 2nd top rated and might need further and my top rated is *ENJOY LIFE 3/1 and I'm hoping from its stall 1 draw it will go straight to the front and then kick and use its stamina to keep the rest at bay, I've got no previous evidence of these tactics so my stakes will be kept low.

Enjoy Life *NR
NEWCASTLE 8.20
This is a poor class 6 race which won't take much winning but I've no idea who will set the early pace Hadley is well weighted and my 4th top rated but may really need a longer trip, DREAM ALLY 10/1 is 3rd top but its 5lb claiming apprentice moves it into 2nd spot ahead of CAPTAIN SCOOBY 10/1 who's trainer has an 11% win rate and the jockey 18% win rate for this stable but it wouldn't want a fast early pace else it struggles to stay the trip, WIMBOLDSLEY 11/1 is my top rated but the trainer is 0-16 and the jockey 0-2 which doesn't fill me with confidence and my stakes will definitely be kept low in such a bad race and have 3 small each way wagers.

Dream Ally 20/1 1st
Captain Scooby 12/1 7th
Wimboldsey 11/1 Unp
CHELMSFORD 8.50
There's not really enough data for some horses to get a really good picture of this race at least there's a couple of known pace setters so it should be a true run race, I've only got 3 horses with recorded times over this course and distance and my top 2 are 2 of them but I've got the 3-year-old bottom weight PERFECT SYMPHONY 12/1 as my top rated and its had just the one run this year on the grass and to be honest didn't run well at all but I'm hoping that's only a blip and it comes back to form here and gets back to winning ways but I surely won't be going in all guns blazing but I'm hoping and each way investment shows me dividends.

Perfect Symphont *NR

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