A poor turnout of just 6 runners in this class 3 race, half of the field are known to lead, Edward Lewis is my joint 2nd top rated and the trainer has a 100% record here with 3-3 and the jockey has a 15% win rate so it looks as though they are expecting a big run here, my other 2nd top rated is Oh So Sassy who's trainer has a 28% win ratio here with all his horses and 3-9 with older horses but they will need to catch my top rated STEPPER POINT 11/2 who if leading could prove hard to catch but this horse looks to need genuine good to firm or faster going to show its best.
Stepper Point 6/1 4th
4:35 Chester -
My 3 top rated horses are all drawn in the inside stalls, Canny Kool is 3rd best and occupies stall 1 and my 2nd top rated Double Up is in stall 2 but I'm not sure if they can get away fast enough to stop JUDICIAL 3/1 from stall 3 getting to the rails and the lead, once in front it could be very hard to catch, the other 2 known front runners are in stalls 5 and 7 so the selection should be able to hold them at bay in the early stages and lead all the way and follow up on its win last time out at Pontefract.
Judicial 3/1 1st
7:05 Ripon -
With 11 runners and only 2 horses that might lead if nothing else wants to in this race is hard to predict where the early pace will come from, Mishaal in stall 5 is my 5th top rated and could lead if needs be which is the same with EXPLAIN 9/1 my 3rd top rated from stall 4, I've got HONEYSUCKLE LIL 7/1 marked as my 2nd top rated and it usually tracks the leader whilst top of the pile is Etienne Gerard but I'm not sure if this one is good enough to win a class 4 race, it's a tight little handicap on my figures so is probably best left alone. A slight change in plan with my original top rated being a non-runner so I will go with having 2 bets but stakes will be kept on the low side of things.
Explain 9/1 1st
Honeysuckle Lil 17/2 4th
7:50 Ascot -
There's only 7 runners in this race with just 1 that I think I can discard, in 3rd spot is Normandy Barriere who can be held up or track the leaders and my 2nd top rated horse, Moonraker is usually held up for a late challenge but my top rated horse is the only known front runner in the field so if LITTLE PALAVER 9/2 can get to the front and set its own pace it ought to prove very hard to catch and the booking of Adam Kirby looks significant as he's got a 20% win rate when riding for the trainer Clive Cox.
Little Palaver 9/2 3rd