BEST TRIP – a possible front runner and my top rated and the trainer has a 16% win rate at this course.
SECRET MISSILE – may find this trip too far and negative trainer and jockey stats say this is a lay bet if any value to do so.
VALLARTA – has a decent trainer record but the jockey is 11-21 and its best time only puts it in my 4th top position.
EXTRASOLAR – has only produced slow times recently and only comes out 4th best, the trainer is 1-25 while the jockey is 2-4 so conflicting stats.
MEANDMYSHADOW – isn't in my top 4 ratings but the trainer has a good 20% win rate but the jockey is 0-8 so more conflicting stats.
PUSHKIN MUSEUM – may find this trip too far for it, the trainer is 0-6 and the jockey 0-8 so looks a likely lay, price permitting.
WILLBEME – is my 2nd top rated but won't want a really fast early pace, it's the jockeys 1st ride for the stable who have a 0-11 record here.
MESHARDAL- usually tracks the leaders and is my 3rd top rated and the trainer has a 15% win rate and the jockey a 10% record so could make the frame.
WINDFORPOWER – is only my 5th top and another possible lay as the trainer has a low 6% win ratio here and the jockey is 0-43.
SUMMARY: Im hoping my selection BEST TRIP 20/1 who has been dropped in class to run at this level, can lead from start to finish and I'm very surprised at how big the price so definitely has to be backed each way, there are 3 horses I would lay if the prices were right and that leaves the rest to fight for the places.
Best Tip 20/1 8th
5:15 Catterick -
Lexis Hero has negative trainer and jockey stats and looks the weakest horse in the race, Oriental Relation is my top rated and a possible front runner so could be hard to catch if getting to the front and the apprentice jockey has won for the stable from only 2 previous rides, Silvanus is my 2nd top rated and the jockey is 1-3 for this stable, Pearl Acclaim looks to need good to firm going to show its best and my 3rd top rated if the going is suitable and the jockey has a 15% win rate for this stable, Bosham is joint 4th top rated and can lead plus it has the stall 1 draw, Flash City the other 4th joint top rated the trainer has a 15% win rate and the jockey 10% for the stable, Compton River is a possible front runner and the trainer has a 19% win ratio and the jockey 20% win rate for the yard.
SUMMARY: There's few contradicting negatives and positives with the trainer and jockey stats but I'm going with ORIENTAL RELATION11/4 who is my top rated and the apprentice has a 1-2 win rate so it looks a positive that he's riding here, I was hoping for a bit better price than that but it has won its last 2 races and every chance of the hattrick.
Oriental Relation 11/4 3rd