Friday, 30 June 2017

6:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (30th June) Fillies' Handicap

Newcastle Racecourse
6:30 Newcastle - Class5 – 5 furlongs – 9 runners
Krystallite would be 2nd top rated using Wolverhampton times but hasn't run here a possible leader. Lady Cristal 2nd top rated times here and the other possible leader KINLOCH PRIDE 6/1 usually tracks the leaders and then stay on strongly and is being ridden here by a good 5lb claiming apprentice which moves it even further ahead on my figures and from stall 2 it should be able to get a good early position and then stay on the stronger at the finish. NEWCASTLE 7.00 Class 2 – 5 furlongs – 14 runners
This is a complicated race but these are the ones im looking at ORION'S BOW 9/2 my top rated but the trainer is 1-60 here and the jockey 0-18 on the stables older horses HOOFALONG 20/1 is joint top rated using Wolverhampton times plus trainer stats of 17% and jockey 16% Soie D'Leau 16/1 is 2nd top rated but trainer only has 9% win rate here Afandem 14/1 is a 3year old who is dropped in class to run here for its debut on any all weather surface and the trainer has 8-24 win ratio and the jockey has 19% win rate which looks a positive move.
SUMMARY: My top rated has poor trainer stats but never say never, then theres a very dangerous 3year old with very good trainer/jockey stats and another using Wolverhampton times comes out joint top but once again not great trainer stats, at the moment im going with backing all 4 to show a profit. NEWCASTLE 9.10 Class 5 – 6 furlongs – 14 runners
Basically a poor race and theres four 3year olds that improve and just a couple of known front runners also only 3 with recorded times, Dream Ally who races prominently is 3rd best and Big Amigo a hold up type 2nd best but ive got EPEIUS 14/1 as my top rated and with a few spots in hand so it may be worth a small investment and hope nothing improves dramatically to spoil my chances, the trainer is 1-6 with his older horses here and the jockey 1-5 so im hoping they are both positive pointers to connections expecting their horse to run well in this race and the price permits me to go with an each way wager.

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