Monday, 10 July 2017

2:15 Ayr Racing Tips (10th July) Handicap

Eric Winner Horse Racing Tips
AYR 2.15 Class 6 – 6 furlongs – 13 runners
Racquet is 3rd top rated from a time recorded at Salisbury last year HIT THE LIGHTS 14/1 my 2nd top rated and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course and at the price has to be given as an each way bet BUNCE 8/1 is top rated but the jockey is 1-49 here and 0-39 with its older runners and I think the price just permits me to go with an each way wager
SUMMARY: I'm not sure where the early pace will come from so my stakes will be kept low and will go with backing both selections each way to show a profit whichever one does the business.

Bunce 12/1 4th
Hit The Lights 14/1 8th

Click here to see Eric's winners this month. AYR 2.45 Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 14 runners
I've got joint 3rd top rated withTatlisu and Dark Defender but the latter wouldn't want the ground to be riding too fast. Duke Cosimo is 2nd top rated from a time recorded at Chester in 2016 KENNY THE CAPTAIN 13/2 is my top rated trained by Tim Easterby and wants good to firm ground to show its best.
SUMMARY: If the ground is suitable I will be backing the selection but there is rain forecast in some areas but my stakes will be kept low but the trainer and jockey do have reasonable stats for this course and stable.

Kenny The Captain 13/2 2nd AYR 4.25 Class 3 – 5 furlongs – 11 runners
SHOWDAISY 12/1 is my 4th top rated but looks the most likely pacesetter in the race and if getting an easy lead it could try to steal the race from the front Gamesome is 3rd best but may need further to show its best ROYAL BRAVE 10/1 is 2nd top rated and the jockey has a positive 17% win ratio for the stable Foxtrot Knight is top rated but its best times have been in a class lower races and the trainer is 0-6 here.
SUMMARY: It's unusual for me not to go with my top rated but everything looks against it in this race and its best time was good for its class but maybe not good enough here so I'm going the with the horse I think will lead and one that should stay on strongly to cover both angles but my stakes will be kept on the low side with 2 small each way bets.
PS. at this course I'm looking for a stick reading of 8.1, it's a little bit below that for Sundays meeting but if its dry overnight it might dry out enough so if your following my selections please check the going before betting.

Showdaisy 12/1 1st
Royal Brave 10/1 4th

WINDSOR 6.05 Class 6 Apprentices – 6 furlongs – 14 runners
Blistering Dancer is the only known front-runner in the race but usually, with these types of races other apprentices are given the same instructions to try and get prominent from the off. Deer Song is 3rd top but could move to 2nd with its apprentices claim but he's 0-4 for the stable. ATHOLLBLAIR 6/1 is 2nd top rated and the trainer is 2-3 with his older horses here so could go close but does need genuine good to firm ground to show its best. CHETAN 16/1 is top rated and usually races prominently and is well drawn to do just that
SUMMARY: I'm going with backing the 2 selections if the going is good to firm or faster but maybe just Chetan if it's not good to firm but my stakes won't be kept low.
PS the stick reading at Windsor needs to be 7.6 or better, it's given as 7.7 at the time of writing but rain would very quickly mean I won't be betting.

Athollblair 6/1 2nd
Chetan 16/1 5th

Learn the history of Windsor racecourse

No comments: