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Saturday, 29 July 2017

2:40 York Racing Tips (29th July) Handicap

2:40 YORK -
This is a competitive 20 runner race and I'm going with 3 small each way against the field SNAP SHOTS 11/1 may like this easier course and will also be staying on at the finish JAYWALKER 20/1 is top rated and did its best time on a similar type, of course, EL HOMBRE 18/1 has been in form and merits this step up in class I will be going with 3 small each way bets in this race if the going permits.

Snap Shot 11/1 7th
Jaywalker 20/1 Unp
NR: El Hombre
CHESTER 4.20
Not my favourite course in betting terms and im going with 2 to cover both angles SIGNORE PICCOLO 6/1 is 3rd top rated but may be able to lead from stall 4 Gamesome is 2nd top but may need further so should be staying on but maybe too late on this course NORMAL EQUILIBRIUM 25/1 is top rated and been in good form winning last time out and will be staying on at the finish and will be backed each way but my stakes for this race will be kept on the low side.

Signore Piccolo 6/1 6th
Normal Equilibrium 25/1 8th
NEWMARKET 5.40
ZAC BROWN 15/2 is my 2nd top rated and looks the most likely pace setter with its apprentice's 5lb claim it moves to top spot and could lead all the way. OH SO SASSY 11/4 is my original top rated and usually comes with a late rattle.
SUMMARY: I will go with backing both, the former could lead all the way but the trainer of the latter has a 23% win rate at this course and I'm hoping to have both angles covered.

Oh So Sassy 4/1 5th
Zac Brown 8/1 6th IVE PUT UP THE 3 ABOVE RACES JUST IN CASE THERE'S A MIRACLE DRY OVERNIGHT BUT IF ITS SOFT JUST IGNORE THE RATINGS NEWCASTLE 4.50 - Div 1
AJ Cook is actually top rated but hasnt even made the frame in 5 all weather runs and 4 have been over course and distance which doesnt bode well but did a good time when getting towed along in a fast run race but hasnt been anywhere near that time in any of the other races so it might have been a fluke result for the horse so im going against it here. MERCERS ROW 16/1 is 2nd top and may find the trip a bit on the short side so ought to be staying on strongly at the finish and I will be going with an each way wager. AMBITIOUS ICARUS 5/1 is 3rd top and will also be staying on at the finish and the jockey booked has a 17% win rate for the stable which points them expecting a good run here.

Ambitious Icarus 5/1 1st
Mercers Row 16/1 Unp
NEWCASTLE 5.25 – Div2

Chip Or Pellet is 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run and ought to make the frame Hadley may prefer further and will also be staying on at the finish and also may make the frame YOUNG TIGER 10/1 is top rated and a versatile sort who can deploy whatever tactics are needed to win, here I think it might be one of 2 pace setters, the other being Lady Joanna Vassa, both the trainer and jockey have got good statistics, the trainer is 3-9 with all his runners and 2-5 with his older horses, the jockey is 2-4 for the stable so a return to looks expected here and the price permits me to go with an each way investment.

Young Tiger 10/1 Unp

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