Tuesday, 4 July 2017

4:30 Hamilton Racing Tips (4th July) Handicap

Racing Tips
4:30 Hamilton - Class 4 – 6 furlongs – 10 runners
Highly Sprung is 4th top and a possible pacesetter Manatee Bay is 3rd best but very inconsistent MUNFALLET 7/2 joint top rated is a possible front runner, the trainer has a 24% win ratio at this track but the jockey is 0-20 so I'm not sure what their plans are but it could be capable of leading all the way. ANOTHER WISE KID 8/1 is the other joint top rated and the trainer has a 16% win ration and the jockey 10%, it can be held up or track the leaders so ought to be staying on strongly at the finish.
SUMMARY- I'm going with backing the 2 selections because the topweight is capable of leading all the way if it does its best here but the trainer/jockey stats contradict each other and if not being able to lead the other selection looks the most likely one to prosper so by backing both I'm covering both angles.

Munafallet 7/2 6th
Another Wise Kid 8/1 3rd
5:15 Brighton - Class 5 – 5 furlongs – 5 runners
A poor turnout but in some waysI'mm not surprised with the top 2 horses most likely to have frightened off most of the opposition, Come On Dave is running well winning its last 2 races but I've a feeling the handicapper may have caught up with it now and only comes out 3rd best on my figures Something Lucky comes out 2nd top on a figure from 2016 at Ayr and the booking of Silvestre De Silva looks a positive move but I think the topweight SUPER JULIUS 6/4 who only 3 years old did a good rating last time out and could improve further and I expected a price of exactly what's on offer, I don't like backing the favourites but I don't go against a horse just because its favourite so have to give what my figures tell me is best in the race.

Super Julius 6/4 1st
7:10 Chepstow - Class 6 – 6 furlongs – 16 runners
This is a poor race and there's no real front-runner in the race and I've got it down to 4 horses and only 1 of them has positive stats using trainer and jockey statistics so my tentative selection would be for TITUS SECRET 7/2 to follow up its win last time out, it usually races prominently and could even make the pace in this race but my top rated is KEENES POINTE 20/1 so I will be having a win bet and an each-way bet in the race but only to small stakes and hope to show a profit if either or both run to their best.

Titus Secret 7/2 2nd

No comments: