Louis Vee is 4th best and versatile with what running tactics it deploys Ambitious Boy hasn't won since 2014 but can be towed along to produce a good time but not win Head Space is a hold up type that I make 2nd best BOGSNOG 7/1 is the most likely pace setter in this race from stall 2 and if getting to the front ought to be very hard to catch, it won 2 runs ago from this draw but couldn't lead that day as the stall 1 horse took it on and still won, I don't think the horse inside it can lead here so it should be able to gain control of the rails this time, it was then tried over 7 furlongs where it tired and is quickly dropped back to its best distance.
Bogsnog 7/1 1st
HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1 3rd top rated drawn and a possible pace setter drawn in stall 4, the trainer has a 20% win rate and the jockey has the same 20% win rate for the stable.
JERSEY BREEZE 6/1 2nd top rated another possible front runner in stall 8, its the jockeys 1st ride for the trainer who has an 18% win rate here. UNDER THE COVERS 8/1 my top rated and again a possible pace setter but out in stall 14, the trainer has a 16% win rate but the jockey has a cracking 38% win rate for the stable.
SUMMARY: With 4 known front runners in the race and my top 3 all being in that 4 it could be a fast run race, they all have decent trainer/jockey stats so I won't try to split them and will go with backing all 3 to show a profit whichever one wins.
Highly Sprung 4/1 Unp
Jersey Breeze 8/1 9th
Under The Covers 8/1 Unp
Just a poor turnout of 5 runners for this class 3 race and the top weighted REPUTATION 13/2 is well clear on my figures despite having to give weight away all round and the bottom weight comes out 2nd best, the only known front running type is the 3 year old Waqaas who could be dangerous if allowed its own way up front but I doubt the going will allow my figures to mean anything but I will be betting if the going is suitable.
Reputation 8/1 4th
Only 7 runners but 3 of them have led before and so have my 2 top rated horses, AYRESOME ANGEL 11/4 starts off as my top rated and the trainer has a 21% win rate, TEEPEE TIME 10/1 starts off in 2nd spot but its 5lb claiming apprentice moves it to joint top and the jockey has a 15% win rate for the stable which has a 16% win rate at this course, I can't split them and will go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one prevails.
Teepee Time 10/1 1st
Ayrsome Angel 11/4 4th