Thursday, 14 September 2017

4:45 Epsom Racing Tips (14th September)

HAPPY VALEY
EPSOM 4.45
The 3year old Bella Alissa is 3rd top rated but the trainer is 1-24 at this course and despite it looking a good jockey booking he has, in fact, got 1-19 win rate for the stable which is enough to put me off but never say never, Amood is 4th best but the interesting statistic here is that the jockey has a 32% win rate for this stable and it should be staying on strongly at the finish and if there's a fast early pace it could capitalise if the front runners start tiring but it would need others to falter to win this race but could make the frame, my top 2 are a few spots ahead of the rest of the field and PERFECT PASTIME 25/1 is my 2nd top and could make the frame if repeating its best and maybe even enough to win the race but has to be worth an each way wager at the price, the top weighted horse GRANDADS WORLD 15/2 is my top rated using a time it recorded at Goodwood (a similar type of track) last year and the jockeys 3lb claim could tip things in this one's favour its a possible pace setter and stall 13 ought to be ideal for that tactic so I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

SUMMARY: I will go with backing the topweight Grandad's World as my main bet hoping it's capable of winning this race from the front but I will also back Perfect Pastime each way just in case things go wrong with my selection and with a bit of luck I could make a profit from both of them.

Grandad's World 15/2 2nd
Perfect Pastime 50/1 Unp

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