Friday, 8 September 2017

5:05 Musselburgh Racing Tips (8th September)

Confident Win
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5:05 Musselburgh -

Only Noah Amor is known as a front running type but its best time wouldn't be enough to win this normally but if allowed to set its own pace it could at least try to pinch this race from the front but if it's a genuine early pace then it will most likely find at least 1 or 2 too good for it ECONOMIC CRISIS 25/1 who did its best time here is my 3rd best rated but I've got the 3year olds LIBERATUM 4/1, 2nd best and ORIENTAL LILLY 11/1 as my top 2, the former looks to chase the leaders whilst the latter is usually held up and it did its best time at Haydock but didn't run anywhere near that form on its last run so what to expect here I'm not sure but I will go with backing all 3 to show a profit whichever one does the business.

Oriental Lilly 16/1 3rd
Liberatum 9/2 4th
Economic Crisis 25/1 5th

MUSSELBURGH 7.35
With only 8 runners I've narrowed it down to 2, ARCHIE STEVENS 14/1 starts off as 2nd top rated but the 5lb apprentices claim moves it to top spot and it's the only known front runner in the race so ought to be hard to catch but LIZZYS DREAM 12/1 was my original top rated and if the apprentice gets the pace wrong this one could be the one to prosper, the trainers have a good 21% win rate here and the jockey is 2-12 so it looks like they are expecting a big run here and I will go with backing them both and as long as there's 8 runners it will be with each way bets to cover both angles.

Lizzy's Dream 12/1 4th
Archie Stevens 18/1 7th

KEMPTON 8.50
There's 3 runners in this race that have been known to lead before and only 3 with fast enough times to register and it's the same 3 that could lead, Aragon Knight could lead but is versatile, it hasn't run here before but its Lingfield time would make it 2nd top, Showmethewayavrilo is 2nd best on course times but top rated is MISHAAL 9/1 who's trainer has a 16% win ratio at this course and its drawn in stall 1 so I'm hoping it will blast out and lead from start to finish.

Mishaal 9/1 2nd

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