Sunday, 22 October 2017

3:40 Southwell Racing Tips (22nd October)

SOUTHWELL 3.40 Div 1
A very poor looking race and only Very First Blade having been known to lead before but this distance does stretch its stamina unless allowed to set a slower pace to keep something in reserve for the finish, Sarabi and Coiste Bodhar have shown glimpses of form so they could make the frame but consistency isn't guaranteed but I do have AUTUMN TONIC 7/2 marked down a few spots clear and this one's trainer has a 14% win rate here which isn't too bad but the jockey has a very good 27% win rate for this stable so the booking looks a positive move and a small bet may pay dividends.

Autumn Tonic 14/1 Unp
SOUTHWELL 4.40
This looks a nice class 4 race with 13 runners and 6 or 7 of them have been known to lead so it should be a fast and furious race and I can genuinely see them cutting each other's throats trying to get the lead and I think it falls into a hole and set the race up for something coming off the pace, Mushaarif hasn't any form of this course but could quite like it and then become a possible danger, Treaty Of Rome is 3rd top and could make the frame but I'm going with 2 selections in this race, CROSSE FIRE 14/1 starts off as my top-rated 4lbs clear of my 2nd top rated, the trainer has a 10% win ratio here and the jockey a 12% win rate for this stable, my 2nd top rated PIAZON 10/3 is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot, the trainer has a good 19% win rate at this course and the apprentice also has a 19% win ratio for this stable which points to connections expecting a big run here, both horses will come from off the pace so may need a degree of luck ensuring a clear run but it is a straight 5 furlongs here so I'm hoping at least one of them gets a run and does the business.


Piazon 13/2 1st

Crosse Fire 14/1 6th

No comments: