Friday, 20 October 2017

8:15 Newcastle Racing Tips

This Isn't Newcastle
MANATEE BAY - usually likes to track the leaders, my top rated and has run well lately.
My Dad Syd - also likes to track the leaders but needs to improve on its last 2 runs.
Mr Orange - may find this distance too far for it.
Athollblair Boy - done its best time this year but not in my top 4.
Samaardi - is only a 3year old but I'm not sure this surface suits it.
Perfect Symphony - may need to drop down in distance to show its true worth.
SEE THE SUN did a time in 2016 that would put it 2nd top on my figures.
Major Crispies - is usually a hold-up type but this surface isn't its best.
Hamish McGongain - a Wolver time would put it joint 4th best hasn't run here at this distance.
Control Centre - only did a slow time at Wolves so this surface may not suit it.
Benjamin Thomas - either wants further or a slower surface, maybe both.
The Amber Fort - hasn't any form here and needs to improve on its Wolverhampton time.
Ace Master - could try to lead but its been out of form and it best in 2015 is relatively slow.
Avenue Of Stars - hasn't any decent form and may prefer a slower surface.
SUMMARY: I always like it when my top speed rating is top or nearly top of the handicap pointing to the opposition being quite weak (that doesn't mean they all win, I wish it was that easy) the draw makes very little difference here Hamish McGonagain would come out joint 4th best on Wolver times alongside Mr Orange despite this one finding it too far if its run at a fast pace, that may not happen here, My Dad Syd is 3rd top rated on a 2016 time and its last 2 runs have been quite poor, 2nd spot is SEE THE SUN 7/1 and it has shown its well being when finishing 2nd in its last 2 starts, it has been known to lead before and if doing so here could be hard to catch, MANATEE BAY 22/1 is my top rated and top of the handicap so the stable have employed a 7lb claiming apprentice, if she's worth her 7lbs claim it moves this horse well clear but shes had 2 rides before for this stable without a winner so if she's not worth her claim and makes the horse 7lbs worse instead of better then it drops to joint top rated so I will go with backing them both with each way bet on both to show a profit whichever one does the business.

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