Friday, 24 November 2017

5:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd November)

Can you name this racecourse?
NEWCASTLE 5.45
This class 6 apprentice jockey race is as dire as they come, I've got definite negatives against half of the field and 3 others I'm not sure about which leaves me with these 4 Jorvic Prince who has the fastest time using Wolverhampton times but finds the trip too far in a fast run race so this might go against it here.
Broughton's Fancy is 3lb lower than the above horse on Wolverhampton times but is 1 of 3 possible pacesetters in the race so could make the frame.
Kyllach Me is 2nd top on c/d times and with its, 7lb claiming apprentice riding it moves above the 2 times from Wolverhampton and another possible pacemaker with claims.
WILLBEME 25/1 is top rated and the 3rd possible front-runner so it getting to the front it could be hard to peg back and at the price I will be going with an each-way bet. Any stakes will be kept low in such a poor race because it won't take much winning and most of the field is very poor those that have shown anything have only done it very sporadically so you couldn't rely on any of them to reproduce their best.

Willbeme 25/1 8th NEWCASTLE 7.15
With 14 runners I've decided to go with a summary rather than my thoughts on each horse:- Ive got 5 of the runners marked down as possible pace setters and maybe Casterbridge or Bondi Beach Boy, my joint 2nd top rated, could do best of them but I think they will be setting the race up for a strong finisher, YOUNG TIGER 4/1 is in good form winning its last 2 races and is my other 2nd top rated here so should be very competitive again but ive got POPPY IN THE WIND 12/1 rated just 1lb higher and it does have a 3lb claiming apprentice riding and if this one can reproduce its best time from 2016 it would win easily but I will go with backing them both to show a profit whichever one does the job.

Young Tiger 11/2 Unp
Poppy In The Wind 12/1 6th

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