Friday, 3 November 2017

5:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (3rd November)


NEWCASTLE 5.45
Cosmic Chatter hold up type 2nd top rated (ew) 12/1 Tan maybe too far (LAY) Sexy Legs maybe too far in a fast run race but could make the frame (ew) 14/1 Roys Dream maybe too far if a fast pace(--) Nuns Walk may not like this surface (LAY) 13/2 Shesthedream maybe prefer a shorter trip (LAY) MEANDMYSHADOW top rated and a possible pacesetter (EW) 6/1 Avenue Of Stars slow times and may prefer a slower surface (lay) Lady Of The Lamp ran on well over 5furlongs could be a possible danger (w) 2/1 Insurplus may need a longer trip (LAY) 16/1 Dandy Bird also may need further but good stats (–) Charlies Dreamer another that may prefer a longer trip (LAY) 12/1 Kommander Kirkup usually tracks the pace, 3rd top but poor stats (ew) 10/1 Prazeres good draw for front-runner but maybe too far if pushed (lay)

Meandmyshadow 17/2 4th
NEWCASTLE 8.15
Kodicat could make the frame but I'm not sure it can win (lay) 3/1 Big Lachie poor stats and may need a longer trip (LAY) 14/1 Joeys Destiny is another that looks to want further (LAY) Mr Strutter did a fast time on turf so could be a danger but not sure (–) Casterbridge may prefer slower surface but is the only known front-runner (lay) 5/1 Control Centre may either want further or a slower surface maybe both (LAY) Hamish McGonagain also needs different conditions but I couldn't discard it easily (lay) Perfect Words has relatively slow times and may struggle here (lay) 14/1 Savannah Beau may need further and has poor stats so not for me (LAY) Astrophysics 2nd top and its 1st run on the aw this year might ignite its form but poor stats FIRST BOMBARDMENT usually tracks the pace and my top rated (EW) 16/1 Pearl Acclaim 3rd best but poor stats may make the frame doubt it will win (lay) Ambitious Icarus only 4th top and may need further and this race might not suit (lay) 8/1 Groundworker just outside my top 4 and a place could be its best hope (lay) 10/1

First Bombardment 14/1 3rd
NEWCASTLE 8.45 Div 1
Bond Bombshell tracks the pace and could make the frame but not sure (–) Racing Angel could be a danger after just 2 aw runs but again not sure (–) WINDFORPOWER my top rated and stays on strongly at the finish (EW) 3/1 Little Miss Lola is 0-9 on aw and trainer is 0-24 here (LAY) 7/2 Naralsaif may need further especially if a slow run race (LAY) Newgate Sioux poor recent form but middling time on turf (LAY) Ninedarter never made the frame yet in 4 runs and may want further (LAY) Celerity is 0-14 on aw but no c/d form, and needs to improve to win this (lay) 12/1 Captain Scooby could make the frame in this weak race (ew) 10/1 Roman Times looks as though a longer trip is needed to show its best (LAY) Burnt Cream has only poor form and needs to reproduce its Kempton time here (lay)

Windforpower 2/1 3rd
NEWCASTLE 9.15 Div 2
Imperial Legend 2nd top rating and tracks the leaders (EW) 7/1 Our Place in Loule may need a longer trip and only slow times here (LAY) 7/2 Novabridge 3rd top and versatile with its running style (EW) 8/1 Young Tiger my 4th top but would need to improve to actually win (?) LADY JOANNA VASSA top rated and if leading could be hard to catch (EW) 10/1 Encoded makes its handicap debut but may need further to shine (LAY) 14/1 Vecheka poor trainer stats and may be better over further (LAY) Yair Hill hasn't any recent distance form and this may be too short for it to shine (LAY) Clouded Gold not placed in 8 attempts and may need further (LAY) Kirkbys Phantom no aw form and never placed on turf in 6 runs needs further (LAY)

Lady Joanna Vassa 9/1 4th
SUMMARY:
5.45 MEANDMYSHADOW 6/1 hopefully can lead from start to finish
8.15 FIRST BOMBARDMENT 16/1 hopefully track the leaders and at least make the frame so an each-way bet at the price
8.45 WINDFORPOWER 3/1 has a few spots in hand on the opposition and there's not much value but it would help in a multi bet.
9.15 LADY JOANNA VASSA 10/1 has a chance here to lead from start to finish here and looks worth an each-way bet at the price.

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