Thursday, 30 November 2017

7:45 Newcastle Racing Tips (30th November)

Horse Racing Tips from Newcastle
NEWCASTLE 7.45
KADRIZZI has been dropped in grade here but seems the last throw of the dice to get it out of its run of recent poor form but the jockeys 0-10 maybe it's them trying something new for a future race. (Lay 11/1)
RIGHT TOUCH is 0-13 on the aw and looks as though a longer trip may suit it better, could run into a place but I doubt it will win.(Lay10/1)
MONT KIARA is a versatile sort with its tactics, hasn't any surface form but the jockey booking looks positive so could be a danger in this race. 11/2
USTINOV may need the run after being off for over a year and its best from Wolverhampton 2016 would just about put it in the frame but not for me.(Lay 20/1)
BERTIEWHITTLE is 0-13 on the aw also looks as though it will need a longer trip to show its best form so not for me here.(Lay 11/1)
TROPICS hasn't any form on this surface but this straight course is quite a quick surface so it might be too short for this one to get into top gear.(Lay 12/1)
HANDSOME DUDE has been known to lead before and this straight course may suit it better like it did 2 runs ago when leading all the way.(EW 12/1)
GLENAMOY LAD hasn't any surface form at this distance but the surface doesn't seem to suit it so may struggle in this race.(Lay 9/2)
FLORENCIO is another one that might not appreciate this surface, it usually tracks the leaders but maybe not good enough to win here.(Lay 20/1)
ECCLESTON hasn't any surface form but I doubt it will like it enough to win this race and the jockeys 0-3 doesn't change my mind.(Lay 14/1)
TILLY TROTTER is a 3year old that could still improve, it may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which looks likely here but my 3rd top rated.
KENNY THE CAPTAIN the trainer is 2-100 at this course which doesn't look promising and this might be too classy for it to be competitive.(Lay 8/1)
BOSHAM can front run and has an outside stall but seems to be on a downward spiral lately and this class 3 race may be too much for it.(Lay 40/1)
SUMMARY: Not the best of class 3 races as there sseemto be negatives against a lot of the runners, Tilly Trotter is my 3rd top rated but wouldnt want a fast early pace so I doubt it will get what it needs in this race with 3 known pace setters, Kenny The Captain is capable of recording a fast time but not usually in this class of race, that leaves me with HANDSOME DUDE who has shown it is capable of winning from the front here and it has won before when coming back after a few weeks rest. It's not a race to be going in too heavily and I would need to see some value in its price so I can go with an each-way wager, which 12/1 is just about the right price.

Handsome Dude 12/1 Unp

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