Monday, 5 February 2018

3:05 Southwell Racing Tips (6th February)

Do you know this man
SOUTHWELL 3.05
FOOLAAD top rated here and usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly. Memories Galore could set the pace, trainers got good stats here but slow times Midnight Malibu co-3rd top rated so could make the frame.
Oriental Relation has an interesting jockey booking but recent times have been slow RAZIN HELL could set the pace and 2nd top rated and must have a decent chance here Bogart may need further to show its best so a lay for me.
Classic Pursuit trainer does ok here but a few pounds extra needed to win this race Pearl Acclaim co-3rd top and therefore an each way chance.
Piazon the 3rd co-3rd top rated so could battle to make the frame.
SUMMARY: I will go with the 2 selections to cover both angles with Razin Hell 8/1 setting the pace and Foolaad 3/1 to stay on strongly at the finish.

Foolaad 3/1 1st
Razin Hell 8/1 5th
SOUTHWELL 3.35
First division of a poor race, Shelneverwalkalone 5/2 is the only known front runner but stall 8 isn't great but not impossible if nothing else wants to lead but would still need a personal best to win the race and at the price is poor value, the top 3 in the handicap are the ones to concentrate on for finding the winner unless something else improves out of the blue, Archimedes 11/4 is 3rd best but has a good jockey booking which may point to them expecting a big run here, Sir Geoffrey 4/1 is 2nd top and could follow up its win last time out, my top rated is Fortinbrass 6/1 who is usually held up for a late run at this distance but could catch the 2nd top rated last time out but is weighted to be much closer here and is capable of reversing the form if reproducing its best time and has got a good draw here to help its cause. I've not capitalised any horse as a selection because any of the 3 could win and I will be backing all 3 to make a profit.

Shelneverwalkalone 7/1 1st
Sir Geoffrey 11/2 3rd
Fortinbrass 7/2 4th
SOUTHWELL 4.10
This 2nd division is even worse, I've got a couple that have been known to lead before, Beau Mistral and Gettin Lucky but i doubt they can lead all the way and win, Blistering Dancer 14/1 recorded a time 2 runs ago that its not been near before and I'm thinking it might have been a fluke time but i might have a small covering bet on it at the price just in case it can repeat that time but the selection has to be JACK BLANE 2/1 who ran its best run last time out when finishing 2nd and a repeat would be enough to win this race but my stakes in both divisions of this race will be kept on the low side and I'm not a fan of backing short priced favourites.

Jack Blane 2/1 7th

No comments: