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Friday, 21 March 2014

2:40 Lingfield RacingTip (22nd March) BOOKMAKERS.CO.UK HEVER SPRINT STAKES (Fast Track Qualifier) (Listed Race)

Stepper Point has no all-weather form to work with but has done a reasonable time on good to firm going. He may need the run having been off since October 6th. William Muir's five-year-old can either track the leaders or even lead. Addictive Dream is another horse which can lead or track the leaders. Must have a decent chance of at least making the frame and is well housed in stall three for a front runner. Evens Stevens likes to track the leaders but is held on recent form by Addictive Dream. Forest Edge likes to track the leaders and is third on
my figures. This this horse has improved a lot but has now probably reached its level. Iptisam may find this trip too sharp and it has got no course and distance form. Kingscote Choice is capable of leading but may need the run after its last run which was in the same race as Stepper point. Not in my top four. LADIES ARE FOREVER is my top rated. She ran a good race last time out after a break. She raced against two others in this race (October 6th) when at six furlongs and only faded inside the final furlong. I think she can track the leaders from stall four and prove the strongest. Monsieur Joe has run well on good to firm going but has no all-weather form in England. Paul Midgley's seven-year-old can either be held up or track the leaders but I doubt if it's classy enough to win. Swiss Cross likes to track the leaders and isn't in my top four. It doesn't look good enough for Listed. Silken Express is another hold-up horse and comes out fourth of my ratings at the weights. May have place claims at best. 

SUMMARY: The early pace is most likely to come from either Kingscote Choice or Stepper Point. It's doubtful either can lead all the way and both are unlikely to make the frame. This race looks ideal for a finisher - the fastest of these is Ladies Are Forever. The jockey, Robert Tart, has ridden five winners from only fourteen mounts for Geoff Oldroyd. It all points to more than hopefully winner. (E.R.I.C.)