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Monday, 14 April 2014

5:00 Southwell Racing Tip (15th April) 32RED FILLIES´ HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-70

Ray Of Joy can deploy any style of running but I think it might prefer a faster surface and I'm not sure if five furlongs or six will suit it better on this slower surface. It's quoted as the 15/8 favourite and in my opinion its a LAY bet. Perfect Blossom is either held up or can track the leaders. I think it may need this run to gain fitness and also prefer a faster surface. But its all-weather as a whole is quite poor. Take The Lead likes to either lead or chase the leaders. It comes out second best on my figures and if it gets the uncontested lead, which I think it
may well do, it will be very hard to catch..Mandy Layla may need the run and its form has been quite poor for quite a while now and doubt it will be involved in the finish. Foreign Rythm is a hold-up type but may need the run for fitness and doubt its capable of wining. College Doll is my top rated and likes to track the leaders, so if it's able to sit just behind the likely leader (Take The Lead) then it should win.

SUMMARY: If I'm right this race may only concern two runners: Take The Lead - who may get an easy lead - and COLLEGE DOLL 6/1, which is top rated so therefore it has to be the selection. 

College Doll 8/1 1st