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Sunday, 4 May 2014

2:00 Bath Racing Tip 32RED ON THE APP STORE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-60)

Before I give any form/thoughts I will advise you to watch the first race 1:30 before having a bet. The going is said to good and will probably be good and good to firm in places tomorrow but make sure it is not soft before putting a penny on the selection.

Beach Rhythm may need its first run of the season having been off for 129 days. It can try to lead and is one of five that may have the same idea. I think this horse may prefer slower going so it's not for me. 

Maltease Ah is the second horse that could try to lead but its times on good to firm going are not fast enough to gain the win. Burnt Cream is usually held up or tracks the leaders and I think here it will be held up but has had 201 days off from racing and its times on good to firm don't look good enough. 

BELLE BEYARDO can either be held up or as I suspect here it can track the leaders it's my top rated and should prove the stronger at the finish. It will have good assistance from the saddle in the shape of Richard Hughes. 

Volcanic Dust is usually tracking the pace but its times are not good enough unless others don't run to their best. 

Outbid may try to lead but can settle for tracking the leaders it has only ever ran on grass five times and done very little so far. 

Little Choosey can also attempt to lead or track the leaders but hasn't achieved a fast enough time to suggest this will be its day. 

Diamond Vine may find this five furlong trip on the short side so doubt he will get there quickly enough as its times at this trip are quite slow.

Spic N Span another horse that likes to lead but would prefer a slower surface as it proved with its last winning run at Southwell when it was my second top choice and became the selection when my original top rated was a non runner. It won at a juicy 16/1.

Christopher Chua usually tracks the pace but it has had twenty six races on both the grass and all weather but hasn't won yet and doubt it will here today. 

Molly Jones may prefer a sixth furlong and find things happening too quickly for it here.

SUMMARY: there looks like there will be plenty of early pace in the race and im not convinced any of them are good enough to lead all the way, the selection BELLE BAYARDO 4/1 is capable of sitting in behind the leaders and proving the strongest in the closing stages.

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