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Thursday, 1 May 2014

4:15 Lingfield Racing Tip (2nd May) "BET AND WATCH" AT 888SPORT.COM HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

Desert Strike is the only known front runner in the field and comes out third best in my figures so will be fairly hard to catch and its got the ideal draw in stall one to attempt to lead all the way. Only Ten Per Cent has recorded slow times at the distance and maybe better suited to a slower surface. Langley Vale likes to track the leaders but isn't in my top four so doubt it will be
involved in the finish. SEEK THE FAIR LAND needs either a fast run six furlong race or the seventh furlong. I expect the pace to be fast enough for the selection's stamina and finishing kick to come into affect. Temple Road comes out fourth on my figures and may find it can't catch the leader so doubt it will make the frame unless one of the three higher rated fail to run to form. Spellmaker is held on recent form by Temple Road so doubt it will have a say in this race. Pira Palace has poor recent form and even before that its recorded times were slow so doubt it will be involved. Diamondhead has only got poor all weather form and produced slow times so not for me. Alnoomas is well weighted on its best form and comes out second on my figures and is either held up or will track the leaders and may stay on to make the frame.

4:45 Lingfiled - Gregori is usually a front runner and comes out joint second top on my figures. Port Alfred can also try to front run or can chase the leaders. It hasn't run on the course before - plus it may need the run after being off for 206 days. Sandfranskipsgo usually tracks the pace but isn't in my top four so doubt it will be there at the finish. Monumental Man usually tracks the pace and is fourth on my figures but may be outpaced and stay on too late to be involved. Profile Star can apply any type of running style but doubt if it's fast enough to lead here and isn't in my top four. Green Monkey may need the run after being off for 255 days and has no all-weather form and may actually prefer a slower surface. *KUANYAO ran a decent race in second yesterday (Thursday) and if it runs again has a good chance of going one place better and may try to lead all the way or at least contest the lead. Royal Aquisition is another that could attempt to lead but I think it may not be fast enough to stay with the pace. Ask The Guru likes to track the leaders and comes out joint second at the weights but on some lines of form is held by Profile Star as well as Gregori.

SUMMARY: 4.15 Lingfield - SEEK THE FAIR LAND is in my opinion too big a price at 12/1 so an each way bet. 4.45 Lingfield - *KUANYAO runs for the second day on the trot. It has a chance to go one better and win. Priced at 16/1 is another each way bet. If it's a non runner I would then say back Gregori to lead all the way.

Seek The Fair Land 12/1 2nd
Gregori 7/2 Unp

*NR Kuanyao

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