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Sunday, 28 September 2014

2:10 Hamilton Winning Race Tips (29th September) MARIE CURIE CANCER CARE HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

There are ten runners with two known pace makers. Top weight Bronze Beau is one of the possible leaders but is only sixth on my ratings. Third top rated is Rock Canyon. This one doesn't want the going any better than good. Second top rated is Two Turtle Doves who is a very genuine horse which can either track the early pace or be held up. RYLEE MOOCH is top ranked. A 7/2 favourite I can see this horse leading all the way. 

4:40 Hamilton - Sixteen runners but only two who like to lead. Rodrigo De Torres is one of them but is only fifth on my figures. The going here is given as good and I think Enderby Spirit needs at least good to firm going to show its best so might not get the right going here. It leaves me with joint top ratings: Chooseday, who can track the leaders or be held up, and BARON RUN 12/1, who is the other possible front runner and if it gets to the front and sets the right pace could at least try to lead all the way. At the price it will hopefully at least be good enough to make the frame but could lead all the way for the win.

4:20 Bath - It's typical the going here is given as firm but I haven't got anything that's dependent on it being this fast to win. There are twelve runners with three possible leaders: Burnt Cream can lead or be ridden in any fashion but still doesn't make my top four and Anytimeatall may try to lead but doesn't make the grade on final times. Best Be Careful is my third best and usually tracks the early pace. Once again I've got joint top ratings with Bilash who also normally tracks the leaders, whilst the selection is HAADEETH 9/1 who is also the third possible front runner and if this gets to the front it will be hard to catch and today is ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. If he gets the fractions right from the front, he could lead all the way.

SUMMARY: Three races analysed and all could be won by horses leading all the way. 2:10 Hamilton - RYLEE MOOCH being the 7/2 favourite has to be a win bet. 4:20 Hamilton - HAADEETH 9/1 gives us the opportunity to go for an each-way bet. 4:40 BARON RUN 12/1 is big enough for another each-way bet.

Rylee Mooch 7/2 4th
Haadeeth 9/1 1st
Baron Run 12/1 1st

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