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Monday, 20 October 2014

3:30 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (21st October) HORSE RACING LOYALTY BONUS AT WINNER.CO.UK HANDICAP

Twelve runners with four horses that have lead before, although only three have registered on my figures. Third best is Black Vale which is quite a bit behind the top two - but one of the four possible leaders. Second best is Presumido, who is usually held up, so will need a clear run. My top rated is *BILLY RED 16/1 and the likely pace-setter. Initially it looks to have a poor draw. However, the horse in stall eleven - Black Vale - is a likely leader so the two [third and top rated], could get to the rails, which may prove to be an advantage. It might pay dividends to place a small each-way bet.
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 3:50 Wolverhampton - A strange race with thirteen runners but none are known to set the pace - but something has to lead. There is very little to separate my fourth, third and second rated: Mthaaly, Catalinas Diamond and Hamis Al Bin. But top rated REGINALD CLAUDE 11/2 is a few spots clear so worth a small win bet.

 4:00 Lingfield - A ten runner race with four possible leaders. Royal Acquisition is fourth top; Seamster second top. Both could lead as can top rated PUCON 5/1. This one has very good statistics concerning trainer, jockey and recent form so hopefully it will lead all the way.

 4:20 Wolverhampton - Thirteen runners with Baytown Kestrel and Lady Horatio to have led before (both three-year-olds). Neither are in my top three but if one of them gains an uncontested lead they could find improvement. My third top is Desert Strike, who can be held up or track the leaders; second top is the bottom weight Clear Praise - but this ones stable hasn't been in very good form lately. Top rated is REALIZE 6/1 and this can either be held up or sit just off the lead. This horse has good stats except that the jockey has had eight rides without a winner. I doubt very much if the trainer Hughie Morrison would employ Graham Lee with the intention of losing but I'm not completely confident with the statistics so keep it to small stakes.

 8:30 Kempton - Ten runners but no front runners so straight away it knocks confidence. Third top rated is Novellan Lad, who usually tracks the leaders; second top is Generalyse, who can either be held up or track the leaders. My top rated is *ONLY TEN PERCENT 11/1 who likes to sit just off the pace behind the leaders and when the trainer John Jenkins employs Adam Kirby to ride it's worth taking note. They have a strike rate of three wins from seven runs. I'd advise a small each-way bet because the price looks generous. 

 *NR

Billy Red NR
Only Ten Percent NR

Reginald Claude 10/1 Unp
Pucon 5/1 3rd
Realize 6/1 Unp

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