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Sunday, 19 October 2014

4:50 Windsor Winning Race Tips (20th October) BEN WOOLLACOTT MEMORIAL HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

Lady Phill can either track the leaders or lead but there could be competition for that position - so either tactics could be employed but its times haven't been very good. West Coast Dream is another that could go from the front or track the leaders but once again its times have been too slow to register. Stellarta usually tracks the leaders without achieving any times of note. However, being a three-year-old it could be open to some degree of improvement. Pharoh Jake can deploy any sort of tactic but none of them have been good enough for it to record a time to figure on my graphs. Bronze Beau recorded a time at Doncaster which puts it third on my ratings and it can either track the leaders or lead. Rambo Will is another possible leader or it can track the early pace and comes out second on my figures. Maymyo is a three-year-old but I think this horse may need a longer trip to show its best but never say never with a horse capable of improvement. Cardinal is one that might prefer the slower going but its times have been poor and it either held up or tracks the leaders. *RYLEE MOOCH 11/2 is my top rated and can either track the leaders or lead and its quite capable on soft going and finished second last time out on soft going. Perfect Pastime usually tracks the leaders but I think it's better over six furlongs so I can see it being outpaced early on.

SUMMARY: I found if a horse was well in on my figures there was a reasonable percent of them winning when they had strong stats concerning the trainers recent form, his form at the race course in question and the win ratio. When using today's jockey the trainer does okay at Pontefract and he's had four winners from nine runners this month, plus the jockey has won twice from five rides for the stable and the horse ran well last time out on soft going when second, so with very good stats RYLEE MOOCH 11/2 looks as though the trainer is going for the win.

*NR Rylee Mooch

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