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Tuesday, 9 December 2014

2:30 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (10th December) £20 RISK-FREE BET AT UNIBET HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+)

  • 1 Tarooq is usually held up and comes out third best on my ratings. From stall three it could be squeezed out early on but if it does get a clear run it could be worth an each-way bet at the 10/1 price but it's, maybe, a little bit risky with the make-up of the race.
  •  2 Lancelot Du Lac can be held up or track the leaders. There's only one known front runner in the field and that's drawn in stall nine, whilst this horse is in stall eight so it could follow the pacesetter a cross and nice early position and hopefully prove strongest at the finish. 
  • 3 Perfect Pasture is my fifth top rated and usually likes to track the leaders. It should be well drawn in stall two but I have a feeling it might be squeezed out early on and I'm not sure it will be able to overcome any early interference.
  •  4 Hasopop is another hold-up type and isn't in my top five ratings, plus it is drawn in stall one and as I've already stated I think there will be general bunching and this horse could be another to suffer and may be inconvenienced. 
  • 5 Barracuda Boy usually likes to track the leaders and is drawn out wide in stall ten so could get a clearer early run but its best time doesn't put it in my top five so I doubt it will be there at the finish. It has won its last two runs so has been in form but this is another step up in class and I'm not sure it will handle this better class of horses. 
  • 6 Out Do is another hold-up type but it can also chase the pace. It is drawn in stall six so could be involved in the early squabbling for places. It did win last time out and is fourth on my ratings and has been raised four pounds for that win. This race is two pounds higher grade so it has to improve again to win. 
  • 7 Steelriver is drawn widest of all in stall twelve. It could be an advantage to be ridden near the front early on but it's usually held up. This gelding isn't in my top five ratings so doubt it can take advantage from what could be a good draw. 
  • 8 Boom The Groom is a three-year-old that's in good form of late being second twice and one win in its last three runs but they have all been over five-furlongs and its style of racing makes me doubt this sixth furlong will be in its favour even though it is a hold-up type. 
  • 9 Fairway To Heaven isn't in my top five ratings and I do think it might be better off on a slower surface [like Southwell]. It is also a hold-up type and drawn in stall five so another horse that could be involved in the early battle for position. 
  • 10 Red Refraction hasn't got any form over this course and distance but I think it might find this trip too short. It could be involved in the early battle for position from stall seven but it can either be held-up or track the leaders but its two runs in class two have been poor. 
  • 11 Diamond Charlie was a nice 16/1 winner last time out when tipped by Eric Winner on here. That was in a class four race and although it is well weighted I'm doubtful it can cope with this two class jump. It is drawn in stall nine and is the only known front runner in the field so could get away quickly and head over to the rails. I wouldn't be surprised to see it run well again but I think it will find one or two too good. 
  • 12  Plucky Dip hasn't run over this course and distance so is a difficult to tell exactly what it will do here. Its best time, which was recorded over this distance but at Kempton, isn't good enough to make my top five, plus it looks like it might be better off over a longer trip. 
  • SUMMARY: I do believe this race could be very competitive early on when many horses are all looking for a good position. If Diamond Charlie heads for the rails it could cause a bumping match, so those drawn inside or higher drawn might benefit. LANCELOT DU LAC 9/2 is drawn in stall eight and could follow the leaders and prove stronger at the finish.
Lancelot Du Lac 9/2 1st

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