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Tuesday, 17 February 2015

2:00 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (18th February) UNIBET.CO.UK CLAIMING STAKES

Not really a race for me to be too interested. After looking through the race I have hopefully found a little nugget but at the time of writing [Tuesday, evening] I've no idea of the betting. However, I do expect this horse to be the favourite but, hopefully, at a price good enough to have a few pounds on TAROOQ. This gelding has been dropped in class which is favourable but its also dropped in distance, which might not be ideal but against these might not be enough to stop it winning.
2:30 Lingfield - Eleven runners. A six-furlong race - hard race to solve. There are three possible leaders: Spowarticus, drawn in stall three but not in my top six ratings, Billy Red, my third top rated and drawn in stall seven, and the third possible leader Ghost Train, who is second top rated but drawn in the outside stall, so may need some luck. In addition, the stable is out of form, which also applies to top rated LUJEANIE. Peter Crate's gelding has been running quite well but not quite good enough to win. I will be interested if it's an each-way price, otherwise I will be leaving the race alone.
5:40 Kempton - Only seven runners. Pearl Noir has been known to lead before so could be a danger if it gets a good head start and set its own pace. On just Kempton times the top rated is Novabridge but the jockey employed has ridden for the stable ten times without winning and that puts me off. If you take times recorded at Lingfield, which is a very similar course and the same surface, this makes Drawnfromthepast first place in my ratings. If priced at fair odds, then I'd give it as a selection.
7:10 Kempton - This looks quite a nice race for the class. Four horses that have been known to lead: Whaleweigh Station, who has been drawn in stall twelve, Mia San Triple drawn stall eleven, Strategic Force drawn six and Glastonberry drawn in three, so it should be run at a decent early pace but I have two horses quite a few spots in hand of the rest. Second ranked comes Doc Hay, who usually likes to track the leaders, but I've a feeling that stall four might be a poor draw in this race. However, if it gets a clear run could easily be in the frame. Top rated is YEEOOW who hasn't had the best of luck with the draw being housed in stall ten but could go well tracking the leaders or be held up if needs be. This drop in class should help.
SUMMARY: 2:00 Lingfield - With limited prices available at this time, 10/11 TAROOQ isn't much value but if it's a trier should win. 2:30 Lingfield - LUJEANIE 10/1 is a decent an each-way bet at those odds. If you can secure a decent place odds on the exchanges, that might be the best way to make a profit. 5:40 Kempton - I search of value, DRAWNFROMTHE PAST is a bet at 10/1. This horse run well at Lingfield and I'm prepared to take the gamble it will perform just as well here. 7:10 Kempton - I'm a little surprised to see YEEOOW priced as big as 9/1 so I would suggest you take the price because I'm fairly sure it should be a shorter price. Take “Best Odds Guaranteed” (BOG) offers where available.

Tarooq 10/11 1st
Lujeanie 8/1 Unp
Drawnfromthepast 10/1 5th
Yeeoow 11/1 4th

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