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Tuesday, 10 February 2015

8:45 Kempton Winning Racing Tips (11th February) GILBERT & JOHN GREENALL´S HANDICAP

Only seven runners but a difficult race to make many opinions. Secret Millionaire comes out top ranked using times recorded at Kempton but the stable has been badly out of form and it's not had an older horse win since October. Luce Dace's gelding hasn't shown anything to make it look like it has hit form. If you use times from Lingfield, which has the same surface, then the two bottom weights, Pharoh Jake and Lupo D'Oro, come out joint top rated. Lupo D'Oro's trainer has had Martin Dwyer in the saddle twenty-seven times without a winner so that poses a problem, plus the stables form has been poor, although one winner this month. Pharoh Jake trainer's form and jockey booking inspires but its time at Kempton is three-lengths slower than displayed at Lingfield, so it can't be taken as a fact. It maybe best to leave the race alone.
8:45 Kempton - Twelve runners. Misstemper is the only known front runner and I have it marked down as a possible hidden danger and stall five isn't a bad draw so it could get involved. However, time-wise it's not in my top three so would need to find improvement to make the frame. New Leyf, who won over course and distance last time out, is my third top rated and should be able to make the frame knowing it is in form. Second top rated is Classic Pursuit, a hold-up type, trained by Ron Harris, who has just emerged from a long losing run. Top rated is INVIGILATOR 28/1. Derek Shaw's gelding has indifferent form but it's not too bad. I would suggest a very small stake as it's a poor race and difficult to gain a clear picture of how it might pan out.
SUMMARY: 5:45 Kempton - I can't really give a selection for this race as I've only narrowed the field down to three possibilities: Secret Millionaire 12/1, Pharoh Jake 7/1, Lupo D'Oro 3/1, who all come out on top using figures from either Kempton/Lingfield. It is possible to dutch all three to make a profit but I think it's best to leave the race alone. 8:45 Kempton - Top rated here is INVIGILATOR 28/1 so it may be worth a small each-way bet but it's not a race to be getting too involved as consistency of form is very thin.

Sculptures by Odani Motohiko

Invigilator 28/1 4th

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