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Tuesday, 3 March 2015

8:45 Kempton Winning Race Tips (4th March) 32REDSPORT.COM HANDICAP

Quick Tip 2:30 Lingfield - Quality Art 7/4 W - 8:45 Kempton - Invigilator 14/1 EW 

Only five runners. Roy's Legacy can lead or track the leaders and is second top of the five. Pharoh Jake is usually either held up or track the leaders but is only in fourth best. Novabridge has the slowest figure of the five. Quality Art has been in good form lately and comes out on top here and should catch the leaders. Bubbly Bailey is the other possible pace setter and is my third top rated. It looks like the race should only concern the two possible leaders: Roy's Legacy and Bubbly Bailey who are my second and third top rated and QUALITY ART 7/4, who is top rated, should be able to pick up the leaders but isn't a big price and even though it ought to win its not great value. I couldn't back anything else in the race. 

8:45 Kempton - 

1> Half Way may really prefer further but still comes out fifth on my figures and should be staying on at the finish but it may not catch those in front. 

2> Rise To Glory is one of two horses in the race that have lead before and its well drawn in stall two to front run and is my fourth top rated so could have place claims. 

3> Hipz is my sixth top rated ad from stall ten I doubt it will get things go its way and would need others to not run to form for it to make the frame. 

4> Rocket Rob is usually held up but may prefer a five furlong race than this six. 

5> Tidal's Baby is another hold up horse but hasn't been running to its best times for a couple of years now so its not for me here. 

6> Daring Dragon has got the best draw in stall one but with its either held up or track the leaders style its times have been quite slow. 

7> Invigilator is my top rated and can be held up or follow the leaders its stable is a bit hit and miss but it has a decent chance here if it gets a clear run from stall nine.

8> Gold Club is still a maiden after eleven runs and is either held up or tracks the early pace but isn't in my top six ratings. 

9> Quinta Feira may find this trip too short and isn't in my top six so not for me. 

10> Satchville Flyer is the other possible leader and has stall eight and despite not having any form at this course and distance it could be a hidden danger. 

11> Lujeanie usually runs its race but doesn't win very often and its my second top rated so could have decent place claims. 

12>Compton Prince is my third top rated and usually tracks the front runners and with its best time it would have claims. 

SUMMARY: INVIGILATOR 14/1 could be worth an each-way bet at the price and I just have to hope it can get a good early position from its stall nine draw but it could be helped by the fact that the two most likely leaders are drawn in stalls two and stall eight,who is the favourite and I have got it marked down as a potentially hidden danger. It looks like someone thinks it's going to run well but I'm going with the proven and hope the selection can track the favourite from stall eight and prove the stronger and at least make the frame.

Quality Art 7/4 1st 
Invigilator 14/1 4th

Note: Invigilator was so unlucky not to win this well. No room at an important part of the race and then ran on like a train. Even more frustrating not to get a place. Annoying. 

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