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Friday, 29 May 2015

2:25 Chester Winning Race Tips (30th May) MALIBU COCONUT CUP FILLIES´ HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

Only eight runners so hopefully the draw wont make too much difference, the three year old Rathaath is my fourth top and could still be capable of improving and is fourth best on my figures, Counter Ridge who usually likes to track the leaders is third best but this one doesn't want the going to be too firm, third top rated is Hopes N Dreams who is one of two known front runners in the field and is nicely drawn in stall two but top rating goes to GRAN CANARIA QUEEN 7/1 who won for this page last time out and is the other known front runner but has been drawn widest of all in stall eight but if it can get across to the rails early on and then challenge for the lead it could take over and then prove hard to catch. 

2:55 York - A very nice class two race over the minimum trip and with twenty runners it wont be easy to solve, there's five known front runners in the filed and they are spread across the track from stall one to stall seventeen, if they split into two groups I'm not sure which side would be best but I'm hoping its going to be on the low numbers side. Red Baron stall three and Astrophysics stall fourteen are possible front runners but haven't recorded a time to make my top six, Green Door in stall seventeen is joint third top rated and another possible leader and Kingsgate Choice is being ridden by a three pound claiming apprentice which moves this old into joint third position and it normally runs a true race so could be somewhere near at the finish, Normal Equilibrium stall eighteen can be held up or track the leaders and is the other joint third top rated, Mappin Time may prefer a slightly longer trip or a stiffer course but still comes out second top at the weights, Captain Dunne from stall one could lead and its got a seven pound claimer on board here which moves it from sixth top to joint third top and this horse has been in good form lately but top spot goes to NOBLE STORM 50/1 who can lead or track the leaders and from still six must have a good chance of getting a good early position but with the size of the field stakes have to be kept low and of course at the price has to be done as an each way bet. 

3:10 Haydock - Listed race with ten runners but only two of them have been known to lead and Music Master has only led if nothing else wanted to but I think the three year old Union Rose will try to lead and is my third top rated and it could improve but its also its first run of the season which tempers its chances in my opinion, Speed hawk is my second top rated and it usually tracks the leaders but top spot goes to the old timer KINGSGATE NATIVE 12/1 who has got a good chance here to come with a late surge to get involved and hopefully finish the strongest and once again its an each way price so that has to be the call here. 

4:30 Newmarket - Fourteen runners in a class two race but there's only one known front runner in Red Pike from stall thirteen who doesn't make my top six, third top is Discussiontofollow who can either track the leaders or be held up, my second place goes to Love Island but top spot goes to MEHDI 13/2 from the Richard Fahey stable who has been running quite well in this level of class and its drawn in stall twelve so should get an early tow from the likely leader drawn in the alongside stall. 

6:15 Chepstow - A very poor class six race over five furlongs, so straight away I'm on the back foot as to the level of bet if there is one mainly because the word consistency doesn't apply to any of these unless its consistently bad, there's four that have led before, Hit The Lights might not be able to here as it looks like it would prefer a longer trip, Warm Order hasn't won on turf from five attempts and its all weather times have been slow at this distance which puts me off this one, Torridonian is a three year old so could improve but its still a maiden after eight races so another passed over, these three possible leaders are all drawn in double figure stalls, the last front runner, PULL THE PIN 9/1 is also the top rated and is drawn in stall twelve where the other early paced runners are housed, if it does get to the front here it could be very hard to catch but at the price it would be an each way call especially if there's the sixteen runners which gives us four places.

Gran Canaria Queen 9/1 2nd (shd)
Noble Storm 50/1 6th
Kingsgate Native 12/1 1st 
Medhi 8/1 5th 
Pull The Pin 9/1 2nd 

Note: Great tipping from Eric today - could so easily have been 3 BIG winners. In fact, all ran well including 50/1 shot. 

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