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Thursday, 14 May 2015

2:55 Newbury Winning Race Tips (15th May) LUCK GREAYER BLOODSTOCK HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-100)

A class two race but with only one known front runner in Magnus Maximus even then this horses times have been slow and not in my top six, Jimmy Styles is fourth top and Eternity Gate third and both like to track the leader, I've got Fast Track and ACCESSION 9/2 down as joint top rated, the former has slightly the worse trainer statistics also it hasn't run since the beginning of September so its slightly tipped in the favour of the latter who has had a recent run where it finished fourth and only four pounds lower than its best so is just about as fit as it can be. 

5:10 Newmarket - An apprentice race where at this distance there's no known front runners so it could be a strange race, Welease Bwian is fourth top and Harwoods Star third top, second top is Glastonberry whilst COMMANCHE 14/1 is in top spot, its being ridden by an apprentice who has never ridden for the yard before so its not much help, stakes will have to be kept on the very low side and at the price it merits doing it each way. 

9:00 Hamilton - Only seven runners and only Roy's Legacy that's known to lead but this horse is better over five furlongs than this six but if it could lead and set a very slow pace it might be capable of tactically outsmarting these, top weight Ambitious Icarus is my second top rated and usually tracks the leaders, top spot goes to ECONOMIC CRISIS 7/1 who is usually held up and would maybe hope they go fast up front, so stakes have to be kept low just because of the question mark about who's going to lead and what sort of pace will be set. 

SUMMARY: Firstly another reminder about the going as there's rain in some areas Thursday evening and Friday morning, I'm going for ASCESSION 9/2 in 2:55 Newbury which is a good class two race if the goings good or better. 5:10 Newmarket I've gone for COMMANCHE 14/1 but because there's no known front runners the early pace could be slow and the race become tactical so stakes are to be kept on the low side, Hamilton is given as on the soft side so maybe a waste of my time analysing it but ECONOMIC CRISIS 7/1 is my top rated but there's no bet on any of them if the goings wrong.

Accession 5/1 Unp
Commanche 14/1 Unp
Economic Crisis 7/1 1st - No Bet - Soft ground

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