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Friday, 22 May 2015

3:10 Haydock Winning Race Tips (23rd May) BETFRED TV EBF STALLION STAKES

Fourteen runners over six furlongs in a Listed race, with two known front runners in, Musicora who could be a bit of a hidden danger and Perfect Blessings who comes out fifth top on my ratings, Mu'Ajiza is third top who can be held up or track the leaders, second top is Divine who usually tracks the leaders but top spot goes to LULU THE ZULU 12/1 and if it can reproduce its time which it recorded at Doncaster it would win quite easily and I cant see any negatives in the trainers statistics so it has to be given as an each way bet at the odds. 

4:20 Haydock - A big field of seventeen runners in this class three race and yet still only two known front runners in the field, Right Touch from the R.Fahey yard might need this run for fitness and its times over the distance have been relatively slow, the other possible leader is Bushcraft who is also third top on my list and if this one could be dangerous if it got an uncontested lead but I think the Fahey stable are making sure it doesn't get everything its own way, second top is My Name Is Rio who may still need this run for fitness, it did have a run six weeks ago where it was back in seventh and would need to improve greatly from that run but never say never, my top rated is CANYARI 8/1 who is from the R. Fahey stable, in fact the trainer also has Gramercy running, looking at jockey bookings it looks like this one is the more fancied from the stable and it looks like hes got all the angles covered and I expect this one to run a big race. 

4:40 Goodwood - Class four race with fifteen runners but only Langley Vale having been known to lead before and it comes out fifth on my figures, I've got Angelito down as my third top rated and Secret Witness my second top but I've got JOE PACKET 16/1 as my top rated and this one normally likes to track the leaders so hopefully can get a good position from stall eleven and then stay on strongly at the finish, the trainer has had twenty older aged runners here and won with six of them to show a healthy thirty one points profit to level stakes, the jockey has ridden eighteen times for them on older horses and won five time to give a twelve point profit and as is usual with these smaller stables they get the odd winner here and there but the statistics point to it producing a big run and at these odds has to be given as an each way wager. 

5:20 Catterick - A very poor class six race with twelve runners and of those there's three that have been known to lead before, Thataboy is only likely to lead if nothing else wants to but there's two more natural front runners, firstly Ben Hall but this ones overall form at his distance has been poor, the other likely or possible leader is MAJESTIC MANANNAN 20/1 who is also the only horse in the race that has recorded a time to register on my graphs, the horse may need a run after a two hundred and thirty one days off but if its fit and trying it could possibly lead all the way and may be worth a small each way bet at the price. 

6:35 Salisbury - A poor class six race with eighteen runner but only five have ever run fast enough to register on my figures and four possible front runners, Live Dangerously is only likely to lead if nothing else wants to but is well drawn in stall two, Black Vale stall eighteen is likely to be on his own if it tries to lead as the other front runners are drawn low, Goadby stall six and Razin Hell stall three but none of these four are in my top five, originally I had joint second top rated with Classic Pursuit drawn in stall eleven, Shady McCoy was my original top rated but even though they have got a good jockey on board hes ridden sixteen times for the stable without winning, my other joint second top rated is MAMBO SPIRIT 10/1 who is being ridden by the very good apprentice, Eoin Walsh who claims five pounds which then makes this top rated. The stable has sent fourteen older horses here before and won with four of them and show a good level stakes profit, the jockey has had seven wins from twenty four rides for this stable which all points to a big run, the horse showed signs of a return to form when second last time out at Windsor and its drawn stall four here which houses him in a good position to track the early pace and then stay on the stronger close home and an each way bet as a bit of insurance.

Lulu The Zulu 12/1 4th
Cayari 8/1 4th
Joe Packet 16/1 Unp
Majestic Manannan 20/1 4th
Mambo Spirit 10/1 Unp

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