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Sunday, 31 May 2015

7:10 Carlisle Winning Race Tips (1st June) APOLLOBET ENHANCED DERBY SPECIAL HANDICAP

A class four race but quite poor for the grade but half the field of ten have been known to lead before so it could be a fast run race. Three of them haven't recorded good times but Can You Conga is my fourth top rated, Best Trip likes to track the pace and is my third top, I've got joint top rated in Bold Spirit who has never won a race from nine starts plus the jockey has a poor record for the stable, so despite it being a four year old that could still improve I don't think it looks like being in this race so I'm siding with *RALPHY BOY 9/1 who can lead or track the leaders and I think it will run very prominently if not leading all the way here. 

*No bet - soft ground

7:25 Windsor - A good quality Listed class six furlong sprint with sixteen runners but what is surprising there's only one known front runner in Outback Traveller and it could be a bit of a hidden danger as its been doing most of its most recent running over a longer trip but last time it tried sprinting its time wasn't very fast but if its improved who knows especially if it does get an uncontested lead but as usual i'll stick with the proven, Minalisa is well weighted if good enough to cope with this class of racing, Ninjago is my second top rated and is usually a hold up type which wont help its cause if theres a slow early pace but the top spot goes to the Richard Fahey trained four year old EASTERN IMPACT 7/1 who won last time out at in a class two handicap at Newmarket and deserves to take its chance against the next step up in class and it can be held up or track the leaders but I'm suggesting stakes should be kept on the low side mainly due to the presence of Pretend in the race, this one has been running very well in sprints on the all weather and could well prove to be better than this Listed class if taking the same level of form onto the turf, its been installed as the 11/4 favourite so it looks like others think the same. 

7:55 Windsor - This time a class three handicap and once again a good race for the class but this time we have six possible leaders in the field of thirteen of these four of them are in my top six so it could be a fast run race, I've got three co third top rated, Major Crispies can be held up or track the leaders, Shore Step and Nocturn are the two third top rated that have been known to lead, my second top rated is Bahamian Heights, my sixth top rated is Tamayuz Star who isn't a likely leader has got a three pound claiming apprentice on board which moves it to joint top rated but the stable hasn't done that well at this course and also its recent form with its older horses has been quite poor lately so I'm overlooking it and sticking with my original top rated, BUSHCRAFT 9/2 from the Ed Walker stable who has had four winners from eleven runners at this course, the jockey has ridden five winners from sixteen rides and the trainer has had two winners from eight runners this month, which all points to another big run from this horse which won last time out at this course after being off for about eighteen months. 

P.S. At the moment they are saying its soft going at Carlisle which of course would mean no bet in the 7:10 Carlisle race and also it says its good to firm at Windsor but please check the going for yourself before betting if at all possible because what is given as the official going isn't always correct [courses fear none runners if there is a change in the going].

Eastern Impact 7/1 Unp
Bushcraft 9/2 1st 

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