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Wednesday, 24 June 2015

4:05 Nottingham Winning Race Tips (25th June) WALKING THE COURSES HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

Eight runners with only the three year old Aprovado having been known to lead and it has won its last two races when making the running for all the way wins but those times were quite slow but if its allowed to dictate a slow early pace it might have a decent amount of energy left to repel challengers but this does look a better race than what its been contesting, I've got joint second top rated with Foolaad and another three year old in Patrick and both can track the leaders or be held up but the top spot goes to the hold up horse, MERITOCRACY 14/1 who finds six furlongs pushing its stamina but this is an easy course and I'm thinking if there's a slower early pace the selection could sprint past them nearing the finish and at the price go each way with your bets. 

4:20 Newmarket - A classy class two race over five furlongs with several good form horses taking part, Normal Equilibrium is my third top rated and can be held up or track the leaders which is the same running style as Discussiontofollow my second top rated but I've only found one horse that an out and out front runner and also my top rated so the selection has to be NOBLE STORM 16/1 who ran well last time out before fading on slightly unsuitable going and if its good to firm ground it will hopefully lead all the way and I'm slightly surprised to see it this big a price so I have to suggest doing an each way bet. 

5:30 Newmarket - Just the eight runners but five of them have been known to lead before although Lady Horatio would only go to the front if nothing else wanted to so probably wont need to here and its times are not good enough for it to be involved in the finish, Feeling Easy is my third top rated and isn't one of the probable front runners and with its five pound allowance taken off for the jockey moves it to joint second top alongside Mia San Triple who along with the top rated REFUSE COLETTE 10/1 will probably lead or at least be very prominent and if does get to the front it could be hard to catch but its a tight little handicap so stakes should be kept fairly low but at the odds its got be an each way bet. 

8:10 Hamilton - It looks a reasonable class four race but only Electric Qatar ever being known to lead but this one might prefer some cut in the ground to show its best, Salvatore Fury is third top rated and along with Economic Crisis my second top rated can either track the leaders or be held up whilst the top rated FLASH CITY 5/2 much prefers to sit just behind the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and showed a definite return to form when second last time out at Ripon which is very similar type of track to this one. 

9:00 Newbury - With ten runners and four possible front runners it could be a fast run race for its class, I'm not sure if Bapak Bangsawan and Burnt Cream will be able to get to the front but my third top rated Mr Dandy Man could try to lead, I've got joint top rated horses with Valmina and Pixeleen and I expect the three year old PIXELEEN 9/2 to improve further again and prove better than this class and if this one gets to the front it could prove very hard to catch, as for Valmina I'm not convinced its capable of repeating its best time from a run at Windsor and might not catch my expected leader. 

9:10 Hamilton - An eight runner race where half the field have been known to lead at one time or another but both Rock Canyon and Eland Ally usually only lead if nothing else wants to but there is two more likely leaders, Chookie's Lass is one of them but has been well out of form lately, my second top rated is Stonefield Flyer who won last time out and is carrying a six pound penalty here before its re-assessed by the official handicapper but top spot goes to BARON RUN 12/1 who is also the other possible front runner, its had three runs this season but all of them have been on softish going so I'm hoping its now fit enough to lead all the way on this better going but at the odds once again has to be given as an each way bet.

Meritocracy 14/1 5th
Noble Storm 25/1 8th
Refuse Colette 12/1 5th
Flash City 4/1 1st - No bet - Soft ground 
Pixeleen NR
Baron Run 12/1 4th - No bet - Soft ground

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