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Thursday, 11 June 2015

4:10 York Winning Race Tips (12th June) 888SPORT CHOOSE EBF NOMINATED FILLIES´ STAKES (Handicap)

1—Willbeme usually likes to track the leaders it had a purple spell last season when it got up to group class which it couldn't cope with and is now I think on a downward spiral. 

2—Lulu The Zulu prefers to chase the leaders but maybe outpaced if the going is real fast and may be even better over a longer trip. 

3—Mu Ajiza can be held up or track the leaders and comes out fourth on my figures but may not want the going to be too fast.

4—Ishiamber is my third top rated from a time at Bath over five and a half furlongs but I don't think the extra distance will be against it and therefore could get placed. 

5—Sleepy Sioux hasn't recorded a worthwhile time recently and this trip may be too far for it to show its best. 

6—Links Drive Lady recorded its best time last time out when it won at Goodwood but that time still doesn't put it in my top four but proves it is in good form. 

7—Ridge Ranger is a hold up type of horse but its final times don't put it in my top four even though it has won two of its last three runs but may not want the going to be too fast. 

8—Love Island recorded its best form at Ripon and that time puts it second on my list and is another horse that likes to track the leaders. 

9—Avon Breeze may be another horse that doesn't want the going to be too fast and its recent times have been on the slow side. 

10—Gran Canaria Queen has been in good form recently finishing first and second in its last two runs so deserves to be upgraded slightly and is well weighted on its best time and is the top rated and this is the only known front runner in the field so I'm hoping it gets an easy uncontested lead and then fends off all challengers. 

11—Jamesbos Girl can be held up or track the leaders and is well weighted at the bottom of the handicap but its best time only puts it in fifth place. 

SUMMARY: Normally I would wary of giving a selection that's at the bottom of the handicap in case they are not good enough to handle the better class of runners its about to encounter but here I'm going to make an exception because the horse GRAN CANARIA QUEEN 8/1 has done well and merits being raised a grade but the real point that makes me more confident to put it forward is because its the only known front runner and if it can get an easy lead it could dictate from the front and keep enough in reserve to repel the challengers.

Gran Canaria Queen 7/1 1st