Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Thursday, 18 June 2015

6:45 Goodwood Winning Race Tip (19th June) ADVANCED RESOURCE MANAGEMENT STAKES (Handicap) (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-70)

Thirteen runners in this class five sprint over six furlongs - but there's only one known front runner in the shape of Satchville Flyer who has been in great form lately on the all-weather. If it can bring that form onto turf it could be dangerous especially if it gains an uncontested lead. It has had two runs on grass before and not even made the frame so I'm very wary. I'm going to discard it from my calculations.

Gung Ho Jack is my fifth top rated from a time recorded at Salisbury last time out but I'm not convinced it will repeat that performance. At best it shouldn't be good enough to win this race. 

Chevise is fourth top rated. Its only won one from twenty attempts on grass so I think a place is the best it can hope, although that's not guaranteed.

Third top is Indian Affair from a time recorded at Nottingham. However, like many at this grade it's very inconsistent - I'm not sure if it can repeat its best time. 

Second top rated goes to Shamahan. It's ridden by a seven pound claiming apprentice and if he's worth his claim it moves to top spot. This ones best time came at Windsor, which is undulating like this course, which moves Shady McCoy down to second spot with its best time recorded at Salisbury. 

SUMMARY: Not too bad a race for a class five affair and it looks like Satchville Flyier will go from the front and hopefully set it up for my top two who can stay on strongly at the finish. I'm suggesting going with both SHAMAMAN 12/1 and SHADY McCOY 13/2 so whichever wins it shows a profit. The trainer statistics have good and bad points for both stables, so I can't split them.

Shady McCoy 5/2 1st 
Shamaman 5/1 Unp