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Thursday, 16 July 2015

3:30 Nottingham Winning Race Tips (17th July) INTRODUCING THE RACING UK DAY PASS HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

Only six runners but quite a tight little handicap and normally I would probably leave it alone but my top rated MISHAAL 10/1 is the only horse that has been known to lead so if it gets an uncontested lead it could try to steal the race from the front, I had it down as a horse I thought was capable of repeating its best time but so far this year it hasn't had the ideal circumstances but may need good to firm going to show its best and here the trainer has put his top winning jockey on board for the first time so that also points to them expecting a big run here. 

3:50 Haydock - Twelve runners in what looks like a nice closely handicapped race, with four known front runners and two of them being in my top three it could be a fast run race, Nocturn may not want it too fast its still my fifth top rating, I'll BE Good is my fourth top rated but so far its best time has been a bit of a one off, Whitecrest has been in good form lately and is my joint second top rated along with Bondi Beach Boy who could be a front runner but top spot goes to TYFOS 25/1 who could also try to be a pace setter and I'm quite sure its capable of repeating its best time which actually came over this course and distance so I'm hoping it can repeat its time today and the trainer has employed Adam Kirby to ride it and when hes ridden nine older horses for this stable before hes won on three occasions which also points to them expecting the horse to run well and the price allows it to be suggested as an each way bet. 

5:15 Newbury - Apprentice race with only seven runners no known front runners I've cut it down to two possible winners in two horses that both won last time out, JOE PACKET 4/1 is actually my second top rated at the weights but I'm fairly sure is capable of repeating its best time but HIPZ 5/1 is a four year old who did its best time last time out when winning at Windsor and a repeat of that what would be plenty good enough, I'm hoping the prices will allow me to back both for a profit whichever one wins. 

7:40 Hamilton - The best sprint race of the day a very appetising class two affair but oh so hard to solve, of the sixteen runners there's only Munfallet my fourth top rated and Boy In The Bar my third top rated have been known to lead before Fast Shot near the bottom of the handicap is well weighted but hes been running in this class but not been in the best of form just lately so that puts me off a little bit but top spot goes to CONFESSIONAL 18/1 who did its best time at Goodwood last year and showed hes more than capable of repeating that time, this year it ran very well when staying on at the finish over five furlongs at Musselburgh but the going wasn't as fast for its last run but I think it might be worth a small wager and another that's a big enough price to bet each way. 

7:50 Newmarket -  Four known front runners in this field of ten and two of the likely leaders are my joint second top rated, Mia San Triple looked quite consistent last season but has had three runs this year and would need to improve but it could have place claims at its best which also applies to Syrian Pearl who finished second last time out on its third run of the season but their times haven't been as good, top spot goes to CREW CUT 5/2 who usually tracks the leaders and will probably have the race run to suit its style and this type of course suits it as well. 

9:05 Pontefract -  A strange six furlong class five race with just six runners and none of them known as a front runner so it could be a tactical race, I've got one horse that recorded a time at Windsor in May this year but it has now had fifteen races on turf and has got three placed attempts but hasn't managed a single win and maybe it will only ever be an all-weather horse, so any stakes have to be very low but still depending on the price because if there's no value I will be leaving JUBILEE BRIG alone but 9/2 is maybe just big enough to be of some value for a small bet.

Mishaal 10/1 Unp
Tyfos 25/1 Unp
Hipz 5/1 2nd
Joe Packet 4/1 Unp
Confessional 25/1 Unp 
Crew Cut 11/4 1st 
Jubilee Brig 10/1 4th

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