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Wednesday, 9 September 2015

4:35 Chepstow Winning Race Tips (10th Sept) IBROLLY CUSTOM UMBRELLAS HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

Class four race with twelve runners and only two known front runners and DEEDS NOT WORDS 12/1 could be hard to catch if it gets to the front and with and uncontested lead it could steal the race from the front,second top rated is INDIAN AFFAIR 14/1 who's form has been erratic with a good run followed by a poor effort and then back to form again and it ran badly last time so will it run to its best today, if so it could make the frame, top spot is DIVINE CALL 25/1 who has been running quite poorly in class six races,”but” and its a big BUT the last time it raced in this class carrying a lower weight against better horses it won at Goodwood so cant be dismissed but it is a tricky race and I will be keeping stakes to low each way bets to show a profit whichever one does its job. 

Deeds Not Words 1ST 12/1 (adv) + £185.63 SF

5:00 Epsom - An eleven runner race with three known possible leaders, Armelle isn't in my top five and Satchville Flyer is fourth top, third top is Birdie Queen who can be held up or track the leaders but im not completely sure it can repeat its best time, PRINCE REGAL 14/1 is my second top and is the third possible leader and if it gets to the front could be hard to catch and at the price has to be an each way wager, top spot goes to HARWOOD'S STAR 10/1 who will be staying on at the finish but it might really need a seventh furlong to show its best but its best run came in a class six race so im not sure it is as effective in class five but I will be backing both each way to show a profit whichever one does the job. 

Harwoods Star 1ST 16/1 B.O.G.

6:00 Doncaster - Twenty one runners with five known front runners and the best of them wouldn't be in my top six so I think the race will be set up for a horse staying on at the finish, Sunraider is my third top who looks capable of repeating its best time, Singeur my second top was from a time recorded in 2014 but hasn't run near that mark this year so it doesn't inspire me with confidence, top rated is CANYARI 14/1 who has been in good form and moving up the ranks but its last run in class two was a step too far for it and is quickly dropped back into a class three where its chance is quite obvious if its still in the same sort of form and at the price I have to go each way. 

8:10 Chelmsford - Quite a decent class five race and all but one of them has set a time at the course but handicapping via times like I do is still in its infancy at this course and im finding it hard to find a ratio to ratio rating using times at Lingfield and Kempton which also use this surface. Ohsosecret is third top rated whilst I've got joint top ratings with FALSIFY 5/2 and Your Gifted, the former being a three year old could still be able to improve and won last time out over this course and distance and that's where its time came from so looks a decent wager but the latter cant be discounted although its form hasn't been very consistent or good this year but can never say never when I know its capable of running just as fast as the other one but I will most likely back the former to the full amount and then have whats called a smaller saving bet on the latter just in case.

Deeds Not Words 12/1 1st 
Indian Affair 33/1 2nd (Eric gave SF: £185.63)
Divine Call 25/1 Unp 
Harwoods Star 16/1 1st 
Prince Regal 14/1 5th
Canyari 14/1 Unp
Falsify 5/2 2nd

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