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Friday, 23 October 2015

2:35 Doncaster Winning Race Tips (24th October) BETDAQ.COM 2% COMMISSION HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+)

“WOW” what a race this looks on paper, eighteen runners in a class two handicap but only three known front-runners, Union Rose is a three year old drawn in stall eighteen but needs to improve to win this, Lucky Beggar is my joint third top rated from a time this year at Newbury but hasn't had ideal conditions since and I doubt it will get them here, DEMORA 7/1 is the other joint third top and is drawn in stall ten so can choose to go either side of the course to whichever looks best, PEARL ACCLAIM 28/1 is my second top rated and may really prefer further but could benefit if they go too fast in front the question is whether its good enough to win in this class of race but top spot goes to the third possible leader in the shape of MEADWAY 25/1 but I'm once again not quite sure if its good enough class wise to take this race, so I think I will back Demora as my main bet and the other two for a smaller amount just in case they do win and, therefore, make a profit whichever one wins.

Soft ground - No bet.

9:10 Chelmsford - A lowly class six race with twelve runners where the form is very poor and inconsistent and half the field have been known to lead before, Helvetia could be a bit of a hidden danger and likes to lead but whether it can especially from stall ten remains to be seen, I've got joint second top rated in FALSIFY 3/1 who can lead and has the best draw in stall three which makes it have an advantage and if it takes its chance could be hard to catch if it gets the lead and can dictate the pace and then kick on but I'm not sure if it will be allowed an easy lead, my other joint second top is OHSOSECRET 7/1 who usually stalks the pacesetters and then stays on could get the race given to it if they go too fast in front, top rated is BUBBLY BAILEY 6/1 another possible front-runner, but it is drawn in stall eight which isn't ideal but if it leads or gets a good early position it must have a decent chance but I think backing all three to show a profit whichever one wins is the way to go.