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Tuesday, 24 November 2015

2:00 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (25th Nov) MB REFURBISHMENT NOVICES´ HURDLE (CLASS 4) (4yo+)

Class five race with nine runners and a third of the field has been known to lead before, Birdie Queen isn't drawn well in stall seven for a front runner when my joint third top rated horses Rigolleto and Billy Red are drawn stalls two and three even though I think the latter is better over the minimum distance so if the former gets the rail it could stay there for a long while and maybe still be in the places at the line so we should have a decent early pace, Dishy Guru is second top and can either track the leaders or be held up but from stall six it could possibly get early scrimmaging if Birdie Queen tries to move over to the rails from the seven stall but if it's not too badly obstructed it could run on for a place, the three-year-old Seychellois could possibly be a hidden danger but it might be even better over further and there could possibly enough early pace to let its stamina come into play but my top spot goes to NEW RICH 5/1 who at first glance doesn't look well drawn in stall nine but if stall seven does go across towards the rail the selection could follow it across and gain a good early position from which to launch its attack, it won its race two runs ago at Chelmsford and didn't get the clearest of runs when running on from the rear last time out over this course and distance, so if it gets a trouble free time and repeats its best time it ought to have chance to win this race. 

7:15 Kempton - A very nice looking class two race with twelve runners and quite a few maybe hidden dangers and one of them is Spicy Jam who is having its first run in this country and also being a three year old could be just about anything and I couldn't dismiss it from my list of possible winners but you can't back on maybe's, Rivellino hasn't run at this course since 2013 but if could reproduce its Lingfield time here it would win the race and ran a lot better last time out than what it first looks like so another than “could” win the race but another what if, I can already see where this race is heading, Hallelujah and Triple Chocolate are my third and fourth top rated and both can be prominent early or be held up, ive got Lancelot Du Lac as my second top rated and can also be held up or track the pace setters whilst top spot goes to Seeking Magic who had regularly been running in this class of race but had to drop down a class to win it first race since 2013, so the question is has this horse had its day and is now on a slow downward spiral, I'm not sure either way, I could see this coming but I think its definitely a race to watch and savour and keep your betting money in the bank, there's just too many improbables to be confident on having any wagers.

New Rich 8/1 3rd

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