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Friday, 29 January 2016

1:40 Lingfield (30th January) Winning Race Tips UNIBET.CO.UK DAILY ENHANCED PLACE TERMS HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-65)

1-Summerinthecity won at Chelmsford last time out in a reasonable time but its ran twice at this course and both occasions the times have been slow, even when it finished second some time ago, if it can transfer its last running to here then a definite danger. 

2-Seamster ran second at Chelmsford last time out behind the top weight and is weighted to go very close this time and if it does get to the front it will take some catching. 

3—Duke Of North can be held up or track the leaders and comes out sixth top on my ratings could have some improvement to come but its not for me today. 

4—Spellmaker has been woefully out of form lately and even at its previous best it would only come out fifth top when taking in the jockeys three pound claim. 

5—Secret Witness another that has been in poor form recently and even at its best wouldn't be in my top six so out of my calculations of winning here. 

6—Ohsosecret has never run over this course and distance and I'm quite sure its a better horse over the five furlong trip so another out of my thoughts. 

7—Encapsulated with its jockeys claim taken off it would be sixth best rated so doubtful it can win this but maybe make the frame if others under perform.

8—Soaring Spirits is my original fourth top rated but I'm not sure its really a sprinter and may be better over a longer trip so should be staying on at the finish. 

9—Rocket Rob is a hold up type and I'm not quite sure if this race will be run to suit its style but still my third best rated. 

10—Ghost Train could attempt to lead if nothing else wanted to but there are two known front runners so it wont have to lead here but is my second top rated but might need a bit of luck in getting a clear run from its stall ten draw. 

11—Rigolleto is the other known front runner but only comes out fifth best on my figures and I'm not sure if it will be able to get to the front here the way the race is made-up. 

12—Hamis Al Bin has got the worst of the draw in stall twelve and isn't in my top six ratings but has been showing a decent bit of form lately but I'm doubting it will be enough to win this race. 

SUMMARY: Last time SEAMSTER 5/1 ran it was my selection but got beaten just over a length after leading all the way till headed well inside the final furlong by Summerinthecity and the weights still favour the top weight by five spots but that run was at Chelmsford and solely on the top weights two runs at this course and distance I'm not convinced this course will suit it quite as well and even if the course doesn't cause any problems it would need a bit of luck getting the same kind of run it got last time out up the rails, so I'm hoping Daniel Tudhope can set the pace and this time hold enough in reserve to repel all challengers.

Seamster 8/1 1st + £112 f/c

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