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Thursday, 24 March 2016


This looks a cracking class two conditions race and I'm hoping I've solved it but it will be nice to watch whatever the result, of the fourteen runners there's only two known front runners, Bosham is in stall ten and I do think its now reached its limit and may find these too good for it but it certainly has improved recently and been winning, while the other front runner Chookie Royale is drawn in stall twelve but is my fourth top rated so should make sure there's a fast early pace for the finishers to aim at. My third top rated is Intransigent who can be held up or track the leaders just think from stall six this one might need a bit of luck to gain a trouble free passage throughout the race, my second top rated is Goken who likes to be fairly prominent when it can but from stall one it will definitely need to break fast to get a good position on the rails but so will quite a few others and I think it could be very tight near the rails and trouble could happen, my top spot goes to LANCELOT DU LAC 3/1 and on first look doesn't look to have been lucky with the draw from stall thirteen but my theory or hope is that if Charlie Royale from the stall just inside of it goes to contest the lead and moves across to the rails my selection can follow it and then get a good early position from which to attack and if it can repeat its best time recorded in its last race in 2014 then it would have a few spots in hand, normally I would be dubious about using form from that long ago but it hasn't run over this course and distance since December 2014 and has shown its in good form winning first time out in 2016 but I was hoping to have found a decent priced gem but seems I'm not as smart as I hoped but at least with this size prize money on offer it is almost definitely going to be trying to win the race. 

4:30 Wolverhampton - Nine runners with three known front runners but I still cant cut it down from my top three which are all joint top rated but none of them are one of the expected leaders, Top Boy is the first of my top three but this one hasn't run since October and its not usually fully wound up after a break so i'm going to leave this one out just for that reason, next is Secret Asset who won last time out in a class five race and maybe it deserves a chance against these slightly higher class horses but at eleven years of age I doubt it has any improvement in itself and may struggle from stall two to get a clear run, lastly there's SOMETHING LUCKY 100/30 who is drawn in stall three and also may need a degree of luck in running but it is only a four year old and may still be able to improve but I wont be betting very big in the race as all hold up types need luck to show their best and I don't know why the price isnt once again as big as I hoped. 

4:00 Wolverhampton -  Actually a very nice little race but with only six runners and half of them have been known to lead before and two of those leaders, Shamshon and Rah Rah I have marked down as possibly being hidden dangers, I've also marked Line Of Reason as a possible hidden horse I've got Red Baron as my top rated but that's because its the only one that's run at this course and distance but its time was reasonably fast but along with three others I've marked it down as maybe needing the run for fitness after a break from racing but this one has won first time out before so I couldn't write it off completely but I think the sensible thing to do is to leave the race alone as a betting medium and watch for future reference.

Lancelot Du Lac 4/1 2nd
Something Lucky 100/30 6th

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