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Friday, 25 March 2016

3:25 Kempton Winning Race Tips (26th March) APOLLOBET CASINO FREE £10 HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105)

1—Related is my fifth top rated horse and usually either tracks the leaders or held but its not had a run since August first last year and it usually needs it first couple of races to gain its fitness edge so I wont be expecting this one to make the headlines. 

2—Spring Loaded is another one that can track the leaders or be held up but its not in my top five so will need others to falter to have a chance at this course but has proved its well being when winning its last two races this year at Lingfield 

3—Steelriver was my selection last time it ran at Wolverhampton when it was backed down to favourite but finished second and on my figures that's where it should finish again if it gets a clear run but it hasn't won since winning at this course and distance in October 2014 but has gone close on a few occasions. 

4—Secret Missile is another that hasn't run for a while in this case since the end of November last year but this one also looks like it needs some runs before hitting its peak and its times at this course and distance have been on the slow side of things so its not for me here. 

5—Mishaal is my fourth top rated and also the only known front runner in the field and usually stall seven wouldn't be a good draw but it could be okay as long as nothing nearer the rails doesn't decide to change their usual tactics but this one also usually needs a few runs to be at its best. 

6—Searchlight comes out third top rated on my figures and like most of this field it can be held up or track the pace but stall five could be a problem getting a clear run from if the stall seven horse heads across them to get to the rails. 

7—Yeeoow has had a few chances before and let me down and I now think its not this class of horse anymore and its last win came in a race two classes lower than this class two race and its best time from 2014 would make it my third top but its recent times haven't been near that level. 

8—Plucky Dip hasn't won a race since September 2014 but has run well on a few occasions and the time it recorded last time it ran here behind Trojan Rocket would be good enough to win this and if it can get a good early position on or near the rails from its stall two draw it ought to be staying on strongly at the finish as long as the race is run at a decent fast early pace. 

9—Invincible Diamond has never run on this surface and looking at what it has done elsewhere I'm not convinced it will like this fast surface but it has been lucky in getting stall one and being a four year old it could still improve.

SUMMARY Quite a tricky race to work out with only Mishaal known as a front runner and being one of a few that usually need some runs under their belts to reach their peak but I'm hoping it will go fast enough to play into the hands of the hold up types, PLUCKY DIP 20/1 is my top rated selection and I'm hoping this one can get a clear run somewhere near the inside from stall two and then prove the stronger at the finish but it is a tricky race and stakes should be kept to a lowish level but I'm hoping an each way bet will pay dividends.

Plucky Dip 20/1 2nd

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