Eric's Weekly Round Up: Musharrif 8/1

Wednesday, 18 May 2016

5:05 Goodwood Winning Racing Tips (19th May) SOUTHERN CRANES APPRENTICE STAKES (Handicap) (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-70)

(FREEBIE) I can only see one what I would call a natural front runner in this field of eleven 

1—Lewisham slow times and maybe prefer softer ground and usually tracks the leaders.

2—Pour La Victoire slow recent times, dropped in class either held up or tracks the pace.

3—Harwoods Star maybe needs further but my third top rated.

4—Bahamian Sunrise may be better at five furlongs but dropped in class.

5—Regal Parade needs good to firm ground but only fifth top rated.

6—Langley Vale my top rated from a time at this course and distance, tracks the pace.

7—Oat Couture a maiden and may need a longer trip.

8—Summersault is the known front runner and my second top rated.

9—Pettochside may prefer it no better than good ground but still fourth top rated.

10—Believe It may prefer further and not much turf form to work with.

11—Captain Ryan looks like a five-furlong horse so be held up to get this trip.

SUMMARY: I would expect SUMMERSAULT 7/2 to try and lead but stall eleven might not be ideal and at the price doesn't offer much value, saying that it would be hard to catch for most of these if it does get to the front and repeats its best time, LANGLEY VALE 12/1 has recorded a time last year over this course and distance that would be good enough to win this but they are fairly tightly handicapped and it is an apprentice race, also neither trainer has a good record at this course and neither jockey is prolific for the stable so stakes have to be on the low side. The going is at the time of writing is suitable but it has been raining and showers are forecast so please be as sure as you can be of the going before placing a bet.

Note: Thursday's Tips: (Please check going - no bet if there is soft in going description)